TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,211,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,250,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,211,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 687 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36a3…fafbbacked Yes56c1,344,992$755,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589,684.231163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No44c204,155$89,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,828.1610455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No44c136,000$59,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,839.9620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c129,044$72,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,142.91,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No44c120,000$52,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,80011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No45c110,000$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,999.9816651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No44c78,005$34,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,685.7935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No44c61,462$27,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,043.15547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No44c51,690$22,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,743.53148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c51,066$22,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,423.72,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No44c50,136$22,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,059.842657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c48,897$21,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,681.12,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No29c41,154$11,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,744.86,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No45c40,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,999.9912847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No26c38,517$9,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,992.6918253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c35,875$15,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,470.9331944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No32c35,491$11,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,471.354261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No44c35,034$15,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,414.932642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c31,582$13,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,843.941,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No45c31,158$14,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,021.279350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No45c30,000$13,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,35013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No44c29,612$13,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,029.4416040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No44c27,050$11,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,901.992560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No44c26,700$11,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,7483759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No43c25,000$10,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7505939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No44c23,963$10,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,543.727653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No44c20,298$8,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,931.1710335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed No45c20,000$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,900955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No44c17,800$7,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,831.967542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No44c17,021$7,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,489.063369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No31c16,274$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.272,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No44c15,000$6,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,529.863650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No12c14,864$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.991,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No46c14,514$6,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,676.449845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No44c14,229$6,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,261.397544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes77c13,172$10,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.9515757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes54c12,639$6,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,766.419746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No45c12,048$5,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,421.65050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes70c9,797$6,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.419660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d45…c333backed Yes57c9,571$5,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No45c9,321$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.614652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No44c9,000$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.8316050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed No1c8,823$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.582941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No44c8,100$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5643145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5206350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c8,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes54c7,409$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,392.961346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c7,287$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.864,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No44c7,000$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…9309backed No43c6,567$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.77825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No33c6,513$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.3875542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No45c6,447$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9019749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes55c6,146$3,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.6412532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6403658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No45c5,802$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.91030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No44c5,574$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.53650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed No49c5,460$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No44c5,258$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.562437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No35c5,146$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.931040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c5,129$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.8184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes57c5,127$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.771931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No44c4,791$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.156448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No27c4,673$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.813125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No44c4,544$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.3612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No44c4,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No44c4,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9610951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked Yes56c4,225$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes56c4,173$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.932642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c3,955$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.3646551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No46c3,908$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.965657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No29c3,871$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.1639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked No45c3,804$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No54c3,601$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.819652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes75c3,571$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.859113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes77c3,509$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.1415470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No44c3,382$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.2615255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No44c3,333$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5224146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked No50c3,300$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No44c3,200$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.034546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9814158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No4c2,754$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.015313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed No44c2,584$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.781030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No44c2,405$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.0621056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No44c2,360$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.1741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No5c2,199$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No44c2,182$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.083148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8607061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8806262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8806550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No44c1,924$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.586744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes56c1,916$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84313552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No45c1,831$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.776241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7922934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes75c1,759$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.7330666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No44c1,757$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.121533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes57c1,709$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9217634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed No45c1,678$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.