TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,521,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,817,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,521,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 591 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac44…fbd7backed Yes73c818,849$597,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,569.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes73c314,601$229,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,942.271181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+145.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No27c117,407$31,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,70010536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes73c115,844$84,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,636.624555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No27c110,000$29,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,7002429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No27c104,084$28,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,102.685545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes73c100,000$73,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0001070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked No27c92,593$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c84,706$23,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,529.1459741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No28c70,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,6001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes70c70,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.993357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No27c64,039$17,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,290.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c63,685$17,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,308.4215442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes73c53,302$38,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,443.724641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Yes70c50,000$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,999.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No30c49,700$14,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,909.994346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No27c41,042$11,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,081.348231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No27c38,529$10,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,344.8813843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No29c34,470$9,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,854.84128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No22c30,052$6,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,742.2658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No28c30,000$8,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3401735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No30c29,720$8,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,915.978836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…2734backed Yes71c27,866$19,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,081.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No29c26,997$7,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,797.6363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed No30c25,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No27c25,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7502729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes71c24,444$17,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,088.763138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No30c24,270$7,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2814346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No28c21,459$6,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,010.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No29c19,980$5,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,794.1939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes73c18,144$13,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,906.037346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No28c16,800$4,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7041741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No28c15,940$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,449.036541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed No27c15,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes73c14,628$10,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,949.5634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No28c14,100$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9481030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed No28c13,310$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,665540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes71c12,980$9,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.177146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes73c11,295$8,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.567042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No27c11,234$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.182433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No29c11,000$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.895347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No27c10,933$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.933050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No19c10,631$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.2420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes70c10,556$7,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes70c10,451$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.428258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No27c10,274$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.033447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No28c9,405$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.745433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c9,114$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.71,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No29c7,500$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1751330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c7,306$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.131,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes71c7,042$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.253158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No28c7,010$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.895444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0307346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b31…754abacked No28c7,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No10c6,811$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.192441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes73c6,690$4,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.313447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No27c6,456$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.1439746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No29c6,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.913839.5%15 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes71c4,918$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.2227236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No27c4,480$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.110660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No30c4,388$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.382334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No27c4,036$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.8429746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes73c4,030$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.28647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.041154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No7c4,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.761540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No27c3,722$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0057145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No27c3,699$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.731540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No10c3,600$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.21533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No29c3,453$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.495446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.918938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes70c2,750$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.638935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed No3c2,607$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.61608.3%5 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes70c2,547$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No11c2,501$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1160136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No28c2,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7058847.7%42 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No10c2,451$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No27c2,400$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No29c2,310$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.92231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes71c2,300$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6674942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No31c2,239$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6842532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No31c2,202$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.628243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes73c2,192$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.7814955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No27c2,144$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.881637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No28c2,132$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.865145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85e7…ffe7backed Yes71c2,025$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104924.5%12 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+157.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No28c1,946$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5384854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No27c1,900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5131435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No28c1,900$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5323050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked No28c1,714$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No20c1,681$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6623637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No28c1,671$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.786251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.