Cricket · resolved market

Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebbe43199a5d30d2b90a6e06fc9f43c10b4234fd4b85cc323aac18d2de94d3dd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $107,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Cricket
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x477f…6c45backed Yes	5c	7,331$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.94	91	28.6%26 W · 65 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	3c	5,774$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.43	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa3…47acbacked Yes	12c	5,546$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	4c	4,644$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	4c	3,897$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.6	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	3,748$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.71	369	8.7%32 W · 337 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	5c	3,394$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.37	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	5c	3,000$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	2,914$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.38	119	5.9%7 W · 112 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d9…560dbacked Yes	2c	2,849$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	4c	2,432$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.67	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Yes	7c	2,279$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.49	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	2,231$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.59	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	3c	2,074$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.44	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5d…3a7fbacked Yes	1c	1,772$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.95	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	4c	1,753$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.26	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf397…e1dabacked Yes	4c	1,405$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.82	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…9da6backed Yes	5c	1,314$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.78	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	3c	1,225$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.48	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes	7c	1,179$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.3	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf6…c639backed Yes	9c	1,157$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7557…2a24backed Yes	9c	1,092$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da1…f07cbacked Yes	7c	1,083$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc294…a660backed Yes	6c	999.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb8…4822backed Yes	6c	999.97$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb260…715abacked Yes	2c	980.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd5…4e74backed Yes	3c	974.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.77	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…76e5backed Yes	2c	927.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a0…1f3dbacked Yes	10c	892.12$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.38	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	6c	854$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes	10c	841.26$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.83	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8cf…0d03backed Yes	8c	778.61$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.15	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes	3c	680.45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	672.74$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed Yes	7c	653.1$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x878a…134dbacked Yes	9c	636.39$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5615…04e7backed Yes	2c	626.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed Yes	3c	601.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac1…5cadbacked Yes	6c	587.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2468…9aafbacked Yes	2c	562.75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa71f…4499backed Yes	8c	560.28$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes	6c	500.08$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ebd…2c43backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	485.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc733…ef32backed Yes	11c	470.46$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.91	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	4c	457$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.16	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a01…2e3dbacked Yes	7c	429.46$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa291…a484backed Yes	9c	418.31$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…deeebacked Yes	5c	407$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06b7…e26bbacked Yes	5c	402.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2839…ea7fbacked Yes	8c	371.48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes	3c	340$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa4…1677backed Yes	7c	315.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a9…97ddbacked Yes	7c	300.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	6c	269.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x531a…8681backed Yes	7c	231.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.01	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf6…301fbacked Yes	8c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	11cpaid	+251%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb0…27f8backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+6.1wins	+0.14per pick	24cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec70…e529backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x604e…f1cdbacked Yes	5c	197.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	178.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a9…5a77backed Yes	7c	177.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb28b…3d9bbacked Yes	10c	164.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c4f…7881backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…4a23backed Yes	8c	147.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?this page
Will Afghanistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will Bangladesh win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?Yes won
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will Zimbabwe win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Will the United States win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event