Cricket · resolved market
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae140a1881161875acf6af395fc1f68042a3d5ea2a801151b215ac7e51ded8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 18c | 4,773$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +58%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…296abacked Yes | 32c | 4,495$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 14c | 3,991$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.58 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…f11fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 66c | 3,126$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 70c | 2,757$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…15a6backed Yes | 17c | 1,889$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,859$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 1,684$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Yes | 12c | 1,260$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,260$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…a660backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…bca2backed Yes | 12c | 968.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…00d4backed Yes | 16c | 940.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 9c | 788.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 12c | 740.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 13c | 648.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…ef32backed Yes | 21c | 606.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…c639backed Yes | 17c | 602.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…e897backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 16c | 571$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…c7acbacked Yes | 17c | 474.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 76c | 425$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…91b8backed Yes | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 79c | 375.31$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Yes | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Yes | 19c | 322.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 15c | 298$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 13c | 256.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…364dbacked Yes | 17c | 256.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 256.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 11c | 249.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed Yes | 14c | 243.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Yes | 8c | 221$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…7881backed Yes | 22c | 216.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…d89bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…5cadbacked Yes | 10c | 187.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…c26fbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 78c | 133.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…a60fbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…0b00backed Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…3d9bbacked Yes | 16c | 124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 10c | 122$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…917cbacked Yes | 17c | 119.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71f…4499backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe323…9784backed Yes | 14c | 115.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 112.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…2021backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…31a1backed Yes | 17c | 103.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…8768backed Yes | 19c | 100.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…7ac3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…cedfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Yes | 15c | 99.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…7c4dbacked Yes | 10c | 98.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…be63backed Yes | 21c | 86.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…d5e1backed Yes | 22c | 81.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…1e58backed Yes | 15c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…1bf2backed Yes | 17c | 74.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 22c | 67.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c9d1backed Yes | 16c | 67.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…b357backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…2ffebacked Yes | 18c | 56.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…34dcbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…f79abacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…279bbacked No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?this page
- Will Afghanistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Bangladesh win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will Zimbabwe win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
- Will the United States win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.