TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf64c…e897

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+519.8%+$161.13
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$42.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$60.47
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$15.82
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$15.33
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.85
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.67
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60.32
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$102
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$184.89
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$78
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.81
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Bangladeshbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+400%+$378.01
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick24cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.41
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.4
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.81
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.48
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japanbacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.74
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Chelsea FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$73.71
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+566.7%+$119
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+124.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+101.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+128%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$25.03
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+410.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$708
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.