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MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked San Diego Padres52c49,760$25,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,875.2341149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed San Francisco Giants48c20,390$9,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,602.832451.9%168 W · 156 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants48c13,445$6,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,956.391,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20047953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed San Francisco Giants57c7,274$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.397659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked San Francisco Giants48c5,508$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.3121740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked San Diego Padres15c5,088$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.7930340.6%123 W · 180 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked San Diego Padres51c4,444$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.4338148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres22c4,215$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.422,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…55d3backed San Diego Padres43c3,666$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres17c3,571$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.894734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants48c3,334$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.681,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres30c3,147$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.549,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres52c2,951$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.981,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants73c2,326$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.0612,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7927…10fabacked San Diego Padres40c2,175$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.342334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres51c2,095$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.495,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed San Francisco Giants48c2,092$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.813754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed San Francisco Giants49c2,010$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.216752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked San Diego Padres52c1,894$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Francisco Giants48c1,874$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.231,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7802,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres24c1,359$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5618156.4%102 W · 79 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants72c1,321$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.91,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres17c1,148$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.871,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Giants49c1,052$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.9265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked San Francisco Giants48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.847448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed San Diego Padres4c1,008$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.39021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants48c999.96$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.981,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed San Diego Padres54c985.09$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.610240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants48c797$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.4475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10b…f230backed San Francisco Giants54c736.48$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.45850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed San Diego Padres26c603.01$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed San Diego Padres46c565.93$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8566648.2%321 W · 345 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed San Diego Padres46c547.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1355541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked San Diego Padres28c546.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.579219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants69c530.73$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.378,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed San Diego Padres7c497.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9570735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed San Diego Padres52c481.78$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5367849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked San Diego Padres52c477.28$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1916159.6%96 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked San Francisco Giants62c477.03$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed San Diego Padres21c469.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.114841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fff…b34ebacked San Diego Padres38c415.1$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed San Diego Padres51c408.24$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.213349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres5c404.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.921,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed San Francisco Giants47c397.98$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9344643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed San Diego Padres53c394.02$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7259150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed San Francisco Giants74c376.93$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.441,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed San Francisco Giants74c376.48$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked San Francisco Giants47c357.02$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.241,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed San Diego Padres46c357$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2221842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked San Diego Padres52c340.76$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.36958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres42c305.95$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.426,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked San Francisco Giants50c303.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6611454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.696,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed San Francisco Giants47c299.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b9…41a9backed San Francisco Giants66c297.39$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.735261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked San Francisco Giants48c281.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6135245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Padres50c261$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.522548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f7…171fbacked San Diego Padres13c256.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.931414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc4…e31bbacked San Diego Padres8c248.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants67c242.4$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.260941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked San Francisco Giants49c232.74$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.721347.9%102 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Padres6c229$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7446239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed San Francisco Giants49c221.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres20c216.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.044,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants49c204.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.691,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b4…cacabacked San Francisco Giants49c201.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.527140.8%29 W · 42 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed San Francisco Giants49c201.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.523935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1880…a421backed San Francisco Giants49c201.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.523452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants48c197$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.443,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf21…2ed8backed San Diego Padres53c195.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.437153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed San Diego Padres38c189.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.793655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed San Diego Padres53c185.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5111346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4342…5797backed San Diego Padres53c185.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.518960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed San Diego Padres53c185.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.518847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed San Diego Padres54c182.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5112655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked San Francisco Giants68c180.75$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.557753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed San Francisco Giants47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.468846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked San Diego Padres55c179.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5210056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked San Diego Padres58c170.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5438455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed San Diego Padres51c164.41$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.851,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed San Francisco Giants79c155.9$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants48c153.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.062,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed San Diego Padres52c151.54$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.866551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked San Francisco Giants48c151.34$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.426357.1%36 W · 27 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed San Diego Padres19c145.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.032343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked San Francisco Giants48c142.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5218257.7%105 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Diego Padres9c131.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.851,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baf…4acabacked San Francisco Giants49c120.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.511233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked San Diego Padres52c118.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4756440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc90d…e7d6backed San Diego Padres53c112.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed San Diego Padres23c109.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked San Diego Padres52c104.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2160350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed San Francisco Giants48c99.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9975453.2%401 W · 353 L+23.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc668…4f06backed San Francisco Giants79c99.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4411361.9%70 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed San Diego Padres19c99.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8245732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked San Francisco Giants49c98.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.241,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4e…e935backed San Diego Padres52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88eb…9394backed San Diego Padres52c94.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.