TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under40c1,475$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.3111443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over62c1,224$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.5813261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under38c936.78$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.524755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Under56c818.51$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b07…a7c5backed Over63c623.33$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Under26c605.91$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.3710232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c543.63$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9991032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c499.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.998223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under37c451.51$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.783135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Over57c413.88$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Under32c413.15$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+136.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under62c379.69$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.961752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under20c376.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda13…0560backed Over80c376.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under31c369.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.854663%29 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Over40c363.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b9…c25cbacked Over47c320.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Over39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…6531backed Over59c269.06$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Under33c214.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c3…868cbacked Over45c211.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Over53c208.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over62c206.15$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.01887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Over57c204.36$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.923915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under32c199.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1363354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under35c183.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11961148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8402…83bcbacked Over72c180.56$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under39c180$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under61c175.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Over60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.63548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7f…de96backed Over65c160.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under41c149.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.55250%26 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over74c135.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de1…4fc6backed Over74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3a…23f8backed Under61c124.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under32c120.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.742035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…24c5backed Over75c115.84$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over67c111.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under31c108.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.971957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…fd4cbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403033.3%10 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x550c…1e1abacked Over54c98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.92366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.53828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2352…4c5abacked Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over61c82.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.335152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over60c81.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under39c79.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Under39c78.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ca…fd12backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under57c61.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over39c57.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.513023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over62c53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.866952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over60c50.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under41c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55646.4%26 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Over58c48.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.045446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Under34c47.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01b…ba4bbacked Under60c46.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ea…449cbacked Under27c44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.121353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…d6a5backed Under57c40.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.633138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf506…4d8fbacked Over74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under42c40.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Over62c39.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.432650%13 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under34c39.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9314736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fe…e1b6backed Over65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ed…437dbacked Over69c33.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f51…43debacked Over59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.511145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260d…7a96backed Over73c32.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over60c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.523141.9%13 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over60c32.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Under37c31.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.111546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab45…fee3backed Over63c31.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over64c30.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.573551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaff…1822backed Over61c30.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Over67c29.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf64c…e897backed Over73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick24cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd21a…5a66backed Over57c26.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f64…32b3backed Under68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be3…0893backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f2b…27debacked Over62c20.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over56c20.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.519549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x767b…d86cbacked Over58c20.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca9…4ebbbacked Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over63c16.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.227256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.