TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0be3…0893

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Cricket, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT4447.7%21 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Cricket — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Mi New Yorkbacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+621.8%+$87.51
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Somersetbacked Somerset · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$64.29
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+256.7%+$38.5
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Kentbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$58.75
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.98
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$34.94
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.06
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Lincoln: Christian Langmo vs Yibing Wubacked Christian Langmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zhengbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.59
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Flavio Cobolli vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukovbacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$34.94
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+724.5%+$207.25
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$35.61
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.22
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Dali Blanchbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Rome: Henri Squire vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$8.92
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$22.83
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.24
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+85.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+271.2%+$86.78
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
American vs. National: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.