Tennis · resolved market
Flavio Cobolli vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb18327cdc8ec478792a836b7fef2447949c17fe94004545efbdd250e37bb61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 1,199$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.69 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 977.22$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.89 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 775.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.41 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 669.23$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.23 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 412.2$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over 3.5 | 52c | 388.91$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.01 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 373.05$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 270.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…43a2backed Under 3.5 | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 230$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 226.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 169.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 161.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 155.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under 3.5 | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 3.5 | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under 3.5 | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…33c6backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 149.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 149.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 113.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 3.5 | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under 3.5 | 70c | 62.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.5 | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…c8b0backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…522abacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 50.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Under 3.5 | 38c | 50.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 50.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over 3.5 | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…e682backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…b9eabacked Under 3.5 | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…fbbdbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under 3.5 | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 22.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…221dbacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 21.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner TienFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs TienCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.