Tennis · resolved market
Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc320991d69ffcaac587e8954c7ae001579f80d56f20597643b1e7e6290a75f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 57c | 2,601$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 42c | 1,906$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.91 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 56c | 1,758$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.97 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 1,287$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 1,285$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 45c | 1,217$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.34 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Over | 56c | 897.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 712.51$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.13 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 55c | 360.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 43c | 243.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 43c | 206.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 57c | 203.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Over | 58c | 123.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 45c | 70.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 45c | 64.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Over | 55c | 60.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 43c | 54.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Over | 55c | 50.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 48c | 47.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Over | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…2356backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 22.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Cobolli vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner TienFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs TienCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.