Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9065a98e71b78eb2e692d50f781535582a12028f3c2724cb965f60259f2faec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 2,340$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.99 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 54c | 1,466$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.68 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,019$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 872.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 870.52$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.97 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 69c | 709.22$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 556.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.81 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 488.84$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 487.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.38 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 26c | 455.69$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.79 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 410.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.54 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 39c | 395.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Over | 66c | 354.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 44c | 336.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 331.43$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 26c | 287.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.64 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 287.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 27c | 231.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Under | 26c | 224.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 205.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 49c | 203$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 77c | 131.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 77c | 128.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 116.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 74c | 99.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 67.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 75c | 62.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 58c | 55.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 75c | 48.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 32c | 45.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 72c | 41.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 75c | 30.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Over | 38c | 27.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 73c | 27.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 74c | 25.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 70c | 20.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed Over | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 76c | 14.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.