Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7631729af08d3f37c3e7a1a804a696dde4ddc4da6ef61687269449fc3772ea09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 48c | 5,011$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,356$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 2,088$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 53c | 1,860$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 1,843$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.37 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 1,270$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.71 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 881.04$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 34c | 768.32$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 51c | 723.33$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.43 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 570.62$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 526.09$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 51c | 485.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 350.78$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 55c | 261.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 258.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 229.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 228.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 29c | 197.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 62c | 168.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 54c | 165.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 48c | 157.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 39c | 150.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 66c | 148.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 55c | 144.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 35c | 139.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 50c | 134.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 127.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 44c | 121.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 102.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 101.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Under | 62c | 77.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 53c | 68.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 48c | 60.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 24c | 54.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…679cbacked Over | 49c | 49.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 49c | 49.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 46.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 50c | 42.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Under | 54c | 38.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 54c | 35.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 34.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 52c | 32.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…d219backed Under | 54c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 54c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 55c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 49c | 20.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 59c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…5feebacked Under | 51c | 19.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.