Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eed64734314f8cf66ce85900fd616a2284b95c22a00430e5676acff2f0c859e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Casa Pia ACof SC Braga, Casa Pia AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Casa Pia AC | 72c | 1,267$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.19 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Casa Pia AC | 69c | 1,117$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SC Braga | 29c | 1,107$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.24 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed SC Braga | 29c | 1,083$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.31 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed SC Braga | 34c | 325.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…c8f2backed SC Braga | 32c | 275.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed SC Braga | 33c | 179.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Casa Pia AC | 69c | 170.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed SC Braga | 32c | 146.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SC Braga | 29c | 142.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Casa Pia AC | 73c | 135.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Casa Pia AC | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked SC Braga | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Casa Pia AC | 67c | 102.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked SC Braga | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Casa Pia AC | 69c | 85.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…b7d9backed SC Braga | 28c | 83.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Casa Pia AC | 68c | 79.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed SC Braga | 31c | 78.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Casa Pia AC | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Casa Pia AC | 68c | 71.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Braga | 31c | 70.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed SC Braga | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Casa Pia AC | 64c | 59.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed SC Braga | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Casa Pia AC | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Casa Pia AC | 68c | 43.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Casa Pia AC | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Casa Pia AC | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SC Braga | 76c | 29.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Casa Pia AC | 66c | 23.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Casa Pia AC | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…243fbacked Casa Pia AC | 69c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.