Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd1ea90e3dbce6fd9c30e510c6e45a3549f051269f6841433781b2911577149

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $136,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $173,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,107 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	34c	24,376$8,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,217.61	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Over	64c	24,041$15,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,654.85	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over	63c	15,000$9,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,549.97	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	36c	12,189$4,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,428.95	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	37c	10,000$3,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,669.98	133	48.9%65 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over	65c	9,400$6,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,255.79	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	36c	4,190$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.86	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	36c	3,261$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.36	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over	64c	2,900$1,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,044	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	64c	2,891$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.63	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	36c	2,778$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	205	45.4%93 W · 112 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	36c	2,603$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.19	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	14c	2,562$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.76	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	38c	2,085$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.52	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over	63c	2,037$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.51	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over	63c	2,030$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.16	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over	63c	1,900$1,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.99	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	69cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	36c	1,600$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.99	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Over	64c	1,563$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.5	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Under	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	36c	1,420$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.44	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	35c	1,413$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.38	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over	63c	1,212$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.3	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	28c	1,172$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.37	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	36c	798.19$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.45	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over	64c	781.25$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.25	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over	65c	769.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.23	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Under	11c	647$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.12	100	53%53 W · 47 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Under	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	137	27.7%38 W · 99 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Under	14c	499.95$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.99	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over	61c	491.8$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.8	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over	64c	478$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.08	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over	63c	476.19$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.19	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+34%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Over	64c	468.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.75	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef42…5d27backed Over	64c	464.06$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.06	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	36c	376.43$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.51	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Over	65c	358.49$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.49	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	17c	338.68$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under	37c	324.32$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	64c	312.5$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	63c	311.63$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.3	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	73c	270$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.9	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	65c	250$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.5	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Over	64c	234.38$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.38	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	34c	210$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	36c	202.02$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.73	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	36c	200.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.36	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Under	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over	64c	199.96$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.99	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	36c	184.95$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.02	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under	36c	183.33$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over	64c	171.88$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.88	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over	64c	170.97$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.97	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Under	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+54%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under	9c	161.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	140	45%63 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over	65c	158.46$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.46	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	71cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+3.2wins	+0.26per pick	57cpaid	+41%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Over	65c	152$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.2	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over	66c	151.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.69	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f0b…ed1abacked Over	64c	151.56$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.56	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+95%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under	36c	149.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-17.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0cc0…65a2backed Over	63c	144.44$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.44	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Under	37c	139.16$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.49	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda63…4378backed Over	64c	132.03$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.53	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed42…fa17backed Under	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	63c	126.6$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.85	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	23c	126.43$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	245	57.6%141 W · 104 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	37c	116.01$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.88	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over	63c	111.11$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.11	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over	61c	111$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.29	191	45%86 W · 105 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Over	64c	106.25$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Under	39c	102.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over	60c	101$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.4	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	64c	99.99$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over	63c	95.24$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.24	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	63c	92.86$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.36	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	37c	88$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	36c	85.31$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	698	51.1%357 W · 341 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	63	54%34 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	35c	73$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.55	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under	37c	65.64$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	150	46%69 W · 81 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Over	63c	63.49$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab0…22afbacked Under	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	65c	60.99$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under	36c	60$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	135	31.1%42 W · 93 L	-12.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56d2…d7a0backed Under	22c	59.24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under	37c	57.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.04	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	36c	55.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d3…60b0backed Over	64c	54.58$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.65	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	69cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed Under	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under	36c	51.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under	37c	50.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	129	63.6%82 W · 47 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event