TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under59c39,315$23,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,134.9916040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under60c16,621$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c13,023$6,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,366.336,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over67c7,431$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.531947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Under44c6,840$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over41c6,095$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,596.0585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over80c5,069$4,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.0119235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over40c5,040$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0242564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under59c3,393$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.8315757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c2,942$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.311,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under38c2,734$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c2,655$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.0955351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over41c2,340$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.5257847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under42c2,306$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.854841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Under42c2,200$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over39c2,128$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.8613155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2207959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1805527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over41c1,707$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.1321056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over76c1,357$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79314459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c1,230$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.1953240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Under43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over72c1,125$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c1,079$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.751,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over42c904.76$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7610338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under44c777.57$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.643250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under24c655$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.222443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over41c600.11$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3488756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over42c590.48$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.4819826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over39c584$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.247361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over42c549.53$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.731050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c529.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.384,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30016858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over49c499.78$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.787038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under24c494.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8377236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over45c480.67$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.216024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over40c460$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27618156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over58c425.86$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.866451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under43c409.3$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over50c396.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6211636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over65c382.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7669742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over76c376$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2496445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under40c363.78$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.514254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over41c360.97$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over44c353.96$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9313353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over57c340.2$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.369246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over42c252.83$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.025543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.56350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over40c247.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.52045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over40c246$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf5…b17fbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over41c236.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.596437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over41c234.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5132951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0b…fbafbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over42c220$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.63161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Over57c219$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c217.17$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0769651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11619834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over39c199.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under57c199.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9815738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over42c194$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Under59c181.36$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under14c178.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.034531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under61c169.32$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.297660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over41c160.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.987150.7%36 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over41c158$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.941,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over41c143$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.371,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Under58c137.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.69957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over41c130.77$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.796250%31 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7902…ef0dbacked Over58c128.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0614…ff8bbacked Under16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under58c122.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.316454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9521254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Under42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.058037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over42c111.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1515046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under57c111$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2717337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over70c108.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.712147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Over40c102.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over40c102.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.517048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.