Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3788985e308503f40e31a0c821eb113518d05628693d9b546feff84350a7770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 59c | 39,315$23,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,134.99 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 60c | 16,621$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 13,023$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,366.33 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 67c | 7,431$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 44c | 6,840$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 41c | 6,095$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.05 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 80c | 5,069$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.01 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Over | 40c | 5,040$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 59c | 3,393$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.83 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 2,942$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.31 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 38c | 2,734$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 2,655$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.09 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 2,340$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.52 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 42c | 2,306$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.85 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Under | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 39c | 2,128$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.86 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.13 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…62dabacked Over | 76c | 1,357$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 1,230$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.19 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…0845backed Under | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 72c | 1,125$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 1,079$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.75 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 42c | 904.76$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.76 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 44c | 777.57$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 24c | 655$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 41c | 600.11$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.43 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 42c | 590.48$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.48 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 39c | 584$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.24 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 42c | 549.53$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 529.43$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.38 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 49c | 499.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.78 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 24c | 494.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 45c | 480.67$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 40c | 460$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 58c | 425.86$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.86 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 43c | 409.3$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over | 50c | 396.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 65c | 382.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 376$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 40c | 363.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 41c | 360.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 353.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 57c | 340.2$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…9997backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 42c | 252.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 40c | 246$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 41c | 236.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 41c | 234.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…fbafbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 57c | 219$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 217.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 199.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 42c | 194$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Under | 59c | 181.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 14c | 178.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 61c | 169.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 41c | 160.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 158$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 41c | 143$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Under | 58c | 137.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 41c | 130.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked Over | 58c | 128.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 58c | 122.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Over | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 42c | 111.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Under | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 70c | 108.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Over | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.