TailMyPicks

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Cricket · resolved market

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royal Challengers Bengaluruof Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Gujarat Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea8…47aabacked Gujarat Titans32c2,277$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.921540.9%88 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4896…7431backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.232766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru60c965.89$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1922241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5276…800dbacked Gujarat Titans9c911.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9065…3275backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru51c679.97$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6912759.1%75 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Gujarat Titans51c605.65$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.884957.1%28 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked Gujarat Titans49c421.46$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.525056%28 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa918…e3b7backed Gujarat Titans49c408.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f18…9e52backed Gujarat Titans50c392.88$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.443754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru51c347.59$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5922647.3%107 W · 119 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…e387backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c326.16$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.914544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Gujarat Titans48c276.75$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8411524.3%28 W · 87 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a9a…b45bbacked Gujarat Titans49c257.36$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x465e…18dbbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f4…a74fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025650%28 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe131…7594backed Gujarat Titans50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5b…ba31backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c149.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6817641.5%73 W · 103 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd024…126fbacked Gujarat Titans49c132.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cab…f49abacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru51c117.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4216043.1%69 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ff…8644backed Gujarat Titans50c115.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…af57backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru55c109.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…7b6fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru70c107.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e98…acf4backed Gujarat Titans50c105.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x294e…e8f5backed Gujarat Titans49c102.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7b…0d6cbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80a…b54cbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru51c96.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.342352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a94…a47abacked Gujarat Titans50c96.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.258146.9%38 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru55c85.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.454650%23 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…8b07backed Gujarat Titans47c84.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9d…1bcfbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c79.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6265…4947backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru55c71.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.053040%12 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x537f…b914backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru51c66.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.674940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7fd…54e3backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x401c…ca38backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru70c56.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5460…15b5backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru54c55.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Gujarat Titans46c53.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.557948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c7…b679backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c52.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.263348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…6c49backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d0…d038backed Gujarat Titans49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511625%29 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be3…0893backed Gujarat Titans44c44.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204447.7%21 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa19a…9234backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c44.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…562cbacked Gujarat Titans47c42.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70a6…a0dabacked Gujarat Titans49c40.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.934634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac2…6deebacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010243.1%44 W · 58 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2b…5750backed Gujarat Titans47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.84143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f2…3d6fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Gujarat Titans50c32.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7433…3c6fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+54.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96a6…0362backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8c…8bb3backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1277…99bcbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1657…365fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7549…c7e8backed Gujarat Titans50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6536…f1d2backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb3…c5e5backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.425848.4%125 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde8…d886backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.