TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$787,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$811,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed No60c453,448$271,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,562.46714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-68.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c120,959$49,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,037.222,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes41c60,920$24,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,205.2593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No67c51,206$34,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,079.165459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes40c47,624$19,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,574.544757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes40c44,005$17,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,4031450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c43,834$17,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,287.3798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c29,573$11,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,743.6768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes40c23,597$9,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,072.331040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes41c20,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,800666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No60c16,558$9,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,934.638743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes40c14,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ae…aa9bbacked Yes40c13,355$5,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…7839backed Yes40c12,826$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,695.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…6f8fbacked Yes40c12,563$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,537.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf110…7f8bbacked Yes40c12,437$4,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,462.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes41c12,195$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,195.122240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa345…f54dbacked Yes40c10,020$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,012.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa030…2822backed Yes41c8,172$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8004351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes48c7,799$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.1213839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes40c7,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50010100%10 W · 0 L+6.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+172.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes40c6,557$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.21060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2adb…3088backed Yes40c6,341$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes41c6,143$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.1140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c6,077$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.7426241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0007560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Yes40c4,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes40c4,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7003167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c4,037$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.2927453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c3,630$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.9933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c3,575$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No57c3,556$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.5732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4188…b517backed No4c3,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes34c3,052$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.8949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e39…3e17backed Yes40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8002100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+147%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes40c2,908$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.7811146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c2,907$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.291,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc666…3706backed Yes40c2,625$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+120.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.021338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes36c2,439$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.711464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No58c2,303$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.845752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes32c2,219$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.754546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Yes41c2,160$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6124…900fbacked Yes39c2,080$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No61c2,067$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.735160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…7247backed Yes40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed Yes40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes40c1,906$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.431877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes39c1,777$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.9214651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No54c1,707$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.1716819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes39c1,667$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.673348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes40c1,650$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes53c1,537$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.0422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes40c1,498$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.51560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes57c1,497$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.6211053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes40c1,485$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.984146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No60c1,481$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.588463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No59c1,454$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.7636456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No58c1,409$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.064663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes40c1,366$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.456845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes41c1,365$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.291838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes40c1,262$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7524320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes39c1,177$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.7719154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes40c1,150$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.163534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes36c1,139$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.892133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes40c1,100$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6604860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Yes41c1,077$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Yes40c1,018$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+73.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.064472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0551…3d39backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60046047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes40c985$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5911030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes41c951.22$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.224738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes40c912.02$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9719952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes40c900$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54015354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No59c881.77$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.6724953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes41c870.73$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.7317744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed No60c860$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked No27c833.33$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes40c827.74$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.6443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes40c787.46$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.4921548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c774.71$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2132854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes40c756.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.418052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Yes44c750$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+133.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes39c730.44$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.573852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd26…77fcbacked Yes75c720.24$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.24333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes42c720$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.64837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.933754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6506…aaa7backed No59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Yes55c639.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3754658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.