Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c41f36c9044809b2156788074a4cb027d0518ced45366356c5bf6398228513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 5,246$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.98 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 55c | 1,974$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 45c | 1,532$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.51 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 26c | 1,451$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 45c | 1,285$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.13 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 1,179$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.53 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 55c | 917.61$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 45c | 881.78$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.98 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 860.32$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 55c | 848.77$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.95 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 720.01$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.33 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 600$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 26c | 599.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.98 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 54c | 589.45$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 43c | 525.13$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 44c | 443.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 46c | 413.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Yes | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 53c | 341.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 17c | 299.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 291.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 68c | 288.89$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 274.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 45c | 272.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 53c | 265.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Yes | 55c | 247.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 48c | 211.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 207.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 46c | 199.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 46c | 199.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 54c | 199.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 56c | 184.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 55c | 173.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 45c | 172.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 172$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 43c | 168.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 38c | 164.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 49c | 161.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 46c | 117.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 39c | 112.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…dcd9backed Yes | 57c | 108.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…bdfcbacked Yes | 56c | 104.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 99.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 26c | 99.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 31c | 98.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 29c | 91.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…ffdebacked Yes | 33c | 88.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 69.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed No | 47c | 67.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 53c | 65.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 40c | 64.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…29b2backed No | 44c | 55.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 44.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…c7f5backed Yes | 40c | 39.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 53c | 36.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Yes | 54c | 35.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…ba22backed Yes | 54c | 35.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked No | 47c | 30.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 46c | 29.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Yes | 45c | 29.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…54f5backed Yes | 54c | 26.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 46c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 47c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +444.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…d6efbacked Yes | 55c | 24.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…7f2cbacked Yes | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 55c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…2a49backed Yes | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 72c | 17.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 72c | 15.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 14.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.