Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe49f929aa869a36e9f80402fb198c62de8ebb5bf3be14a7d187494218a56f9c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 26,172$19,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.1 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 12,247$6,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,151.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 6,472$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 6,320$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.35 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 66c | 5,600$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 4,435$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.85 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 39c | 3,721$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 3,531$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 2,195$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.78 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 76c | 1,959$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 1,920$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 47c | 1,916$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.31 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 52c | 1,830$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.4 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 61c | 1,563$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 24c | 1,499$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.76 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 1,386$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.8 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 41c | 1,325$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.58 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 1,317$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.9 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…19a9backed Over | 35c | 961$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 23c | 953.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 927.65$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.89 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 27c | 758.28$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.41 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 39c | 748.01$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.05 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 695.32$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.41 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 25c | 669.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 73c | 615.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.55 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 24c | 608.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 582.3$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…facbbacked Under | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 69c | 533.56$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 25c | 527.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…3fcbbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 24c | 477.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 401.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 24c | 370$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Over | 73c | 368.93$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked Over | 39c | 338.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 69c | 329.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 29c | 315.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.32 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 40c | 302$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 40c | 299.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 72c | 298.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…e2dcbacked Over | 35c | 288.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 29c | 283.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 56c | 281.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 24c | 281.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 45c | 268.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Over | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Over | 32c | 239.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 228.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 70c | 226.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 208.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 74c | 206.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 73c | 186.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 185.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 72c | 177.18$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 40c | 168.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 157$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Over | 72c | 150.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 42c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 146.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 28c | 125.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 19c | 122.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 59c | 114.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Over | 73c | 101.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 28c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 27c | 98.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…4f85backed Over | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 60c | 92.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 28c | 86.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.