Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff6e6c08b6096657b44a4c25aab0f93238eacd1caa9933e03f5bb5fb209f4ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 47c | 162,747$76,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,006.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 53c | 108,773$57,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,123.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 47c | 49,769$23,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,391.28 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 39,097$25,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,907.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 29,047$13,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,656.34 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 53c | 20,556$10,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,661.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.95 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 10,884$5,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.73 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 54c | 10,850$5,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,990.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 10,358$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.46 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Over | 49c | 9,807$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.47 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 54c | 9,181$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.41 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 7,925$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.96 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 7,258$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.77 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 53c | 5,501$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 4,448$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.64 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 4,446$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.76 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 51c | 4,167$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.95 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 53c | 3,792$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 53c | 3,667$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 40c | 3,606$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 53c | 3,539$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 29c | 3,460$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 51c | 3,209$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 16c | 3,114$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Over | 48c | 3,028$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 48c | 3,018$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.33 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 53c | 2,617$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.77 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 31c | 2,589$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 53c | 2,545$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.89 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 2,409$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.78 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Under | 77c | 2,330$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 47c | 2,212$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Under | 50c | 2,181$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 2,007$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.18 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 54c | 1,984$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 1,898$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.06 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 1,828$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.11 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 1,670$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.17 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 1,659$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.04 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 53c | 1,615$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.11 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Over | 49c | 1,613$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 1,471$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.37 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 1,429$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.51 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Over | 22c | 1,303$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 1,293$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.06 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,289$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.7 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 53c | 1,252$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.29 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 16c | 1,187$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 50c | 1,138$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.62 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 53c | 995.57$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 26c | 720.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 23c | 709.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 665.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.04 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 21c | 654.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 53c | 643.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 620.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 48c | 598.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.49 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 587.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 53c | 520.91$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 46c | 492.21$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 486$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 55c | 478$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 40c | 476.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 471$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 464.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 54c | 450.18$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 438.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 47c | 432.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.