Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f86060b08b0f18875d1bc577142376287059a1d4a6196e1c5c5010c5ee099ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $586,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 125,641$63,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,917.74 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 49c | 45,000$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,949.81 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 37,570$18,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,871.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 49c | 34,798$17,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,747.21 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 38c | 19,760$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 55c | 17,928$9,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,133.85 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 13,164$8,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 13,148$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,268.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 67c | 11,949$8,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.53 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 50c | 9,641$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…d370backed Yes | 51c | 9,593$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 49c | 9,268$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 56c | 8,066$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 7,961$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.92 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 5,906$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.81 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 60c | 5,367$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 5,159$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.5 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed No | 68c | 4,849$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 28c | 3,330$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.92 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 2,904$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 65c | 2,778$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.69 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 34c | 2,773$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.59 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 68c | 2,629$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.8 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 69c | 2,620$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.31 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 2,600$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.3 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 71c | 2,520$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.53 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 50c | 2,408$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 49c | 2,351$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.48 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 50c | 2,040$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 50c | 1,895$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 1,836$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.94 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Yes | 51c | 1,731$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…ed3dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 51c | 1,555$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 1,537$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.52 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 53c | 1,522$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…3eddbacked Yes | 21c | 1,464$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 63c | 1,428$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.41 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 31c | 1,335$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 50c | 1,259$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,223$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.59 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 42c | 1,210$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…ee1ebacked No | 49c | 1,201$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…28c0backed Yes | 51c | 1,197$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 50c | 1,176$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 1,170$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.82 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 51c | 1,162$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 51c | 1,160$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.6 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 1,159$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.82 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 31c | 1,155$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 27c | 1,117$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.29 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 67c | 1,087$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.62 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 57c | 1,042$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.66 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,035$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.85 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…d76dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…b3e0backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 34c | 819.19$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.2 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 817.54$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.5 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 48c | 801$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.52 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 50c | 694$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 50c | 666.04$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 51c | 654.52$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed No | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 36c | 629.38$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 623.46$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.56 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.