TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No61c16,586$10,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,462.272,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes25c11,987$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c9,385$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.563,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c8,229$6,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.491,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes25c7,907$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4405461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes78c5,632$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.6416647%78 W · 88 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c3,884$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.8564043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No22c3,711$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.581968.4%13 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+128.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c3,513$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.1940744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No75c3,181$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.1948141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c2,594$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.3869851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No50c2,490$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24510943.1%47 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No75c2,272$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.117255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No27c1,778$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.282520%5 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No66c1,477$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.929354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes25c1,393$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.217538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes24c1,001$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.245030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c855.24$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.791,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No73c840.54$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.952369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No65c768.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.132259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c721.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4533737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c643.79$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2711356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No64c628.37$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.595653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c514.92$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.731,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes19c450$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.560%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Yes19c450$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c449.13$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8939857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes13c426.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.935024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e73…6de1backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes13c402.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.384858.3%28 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+49.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No41c366.47$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.829052.2%47 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes35c331.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No51c327.29$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.699248.9%45 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No63c320.75$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.364153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…121abacked Yes49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c316.55$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3756951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes39c308.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e1…ee29backed No76c276.32$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.32475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes63c240.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.691650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes63c222.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404030%12 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes29c219.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.392138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes29c219$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes24c213.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2529855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c208$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9234342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No41c206.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.898844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004963.3%31 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes13c184.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c180.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2562452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes24c175.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0642046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e1…9601backed Yes26c173.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad76…93febacked No77c170$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.83100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes21c169.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed No60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes25c158.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No42c147.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.647335.6%26 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes19c142.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.143342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes65c139.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes14c135.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191735.3%6 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick17cpaid+90.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No64c119.91$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.763046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No66c118.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes25c117$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.254634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No59c116.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.966264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6a6…fec7backed Yes49c105.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.571947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No68c102.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3527554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes40c102.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.947646.1%35 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes60c102.07$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255076%38 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.355058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+104.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No26c99.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.984240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes24c95.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes24c90.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.731747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…ed31backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No71c87.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82b2…45d7backed No54c86.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No34c83.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6911762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes35c77.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.162231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No62c76.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2253140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.757136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No68c74.32$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c71.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No44c70.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.387455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked No43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.771050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No47c68.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.