TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No56c28,017$15,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,760.392,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c19,029$5,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,880.723,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes32c15,595$4,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,643.6410641.5%44 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes52c12,166$6,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.1922669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes35c10,136$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,634.0211762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No70c7,634$5,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,367.367255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No55c6,429$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.379646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No33c4,919$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.1440744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes31c4,496$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.6116060.6%97 W · 63 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No58c3,235$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa12e…a14abacked Yes49c3,000$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Yes49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes31c2,859$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.466264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes34c2,846$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.0633737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes32c2,840$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.096564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes31c2,818$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.389476.6%72 W · 22 L+16.8wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes32c2,812$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.395358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes31c2,564$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.231764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+67.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x643d…98bebacked Yes49c2,523$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes60c2,502$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.9310943.1%47 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No60c2,416$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.4514315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c2,324$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.281,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No63c2,050$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.049354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb988…b6eabacked Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+194.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.715538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No49c1,725$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.0111356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No56c1,592$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.646232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No73c1,572$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.567750.6%39 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes24c1,528$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.221,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No76c1,500$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.712651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes24c1,068$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.4215747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No70c1,046$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.0848141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6805246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704734%16 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Yes18c1,000$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.54839.6%19 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No76c924.05$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.287538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No57c915.74$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked No77c909.61$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes28c843.63$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.078932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No61c816.96$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.19052.2%47 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No57c800$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.442642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes18c800$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.65024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes18c795.07$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes23c773.6$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.671942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes30c702.83$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.881540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes29c617.24$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.24742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes24c600$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45629855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes52c576.92$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e73…6de1backed Yes24c569.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No39c563.11$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.588844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes35c531.39$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.412460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No40c525.33$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.535653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9241…aa5fbacked Yes29c517.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+72.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34019458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No11c499.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes21c494.39$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.3764043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No52c480.16$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.42045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c470$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0149143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2063…f08bbacked No75c466.67$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c436.96$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5769851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes27c430$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.53748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No69c419$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.197335.6%26 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2843339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes26c400$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29810251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ee…cf19backed No76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98c…043ebacked No76c394$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes28c393$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.111573.3%11 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.41per pick32cpaid+151.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No77c390.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c358.84$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7239857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142050%10 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes26c307$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.181369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+60.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1985276.9%40 W · 12 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+72%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Yes26c299.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes40c289.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.439742.3%41 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes18c285$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.74949%24 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes33c280.79$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.66665.2%43 W · 23 L+12.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes65c278.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9411751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No56c263$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.642343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes28c261.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.166355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked No31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes37c247.5$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6916464%105 W · 59 L+28.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes36c237.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1416056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515742%66 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes18c223.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c207.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2342046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes28c203$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1613129.8%39 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No57c201.7$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.796937.7%26 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes24c200.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8428241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa936…a18abacked Yes33c195.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Yes29c195.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.721752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes47c192.4$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes25c192$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No61c190.74$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3122221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No65c178.46$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.117455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes21c176.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+67.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x42ab…3e26backed No77c175.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.171154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes28c170$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.671526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.