Tennis · resolved market
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd6ae13fd340ad63319097eafde8cfee4374adc92f1f4a525d9f3ddf6a7f743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Manuel Cerundoloof Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Quentin Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Quentin Halys | 11c | 2,278$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.43 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Quentin Halys | 11c | 1,510$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Quentin Halys | 39c | 1,468$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.34 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Quentin Halys | 8c | 1,399$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Quentin Halys | 37c | 1,328$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.27 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Quentin Halys | 23c | 1,243$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Quentin Halys | 17c | 1,230$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.03 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Quentin Halys | 16c | 1,033$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Quentin Halys | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Quentin Halys | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 880.25$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.69 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 80c | 879.12$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 215 | 67.4%145 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Quentin Halys | 8c | 813.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Quentin Halys | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Quentin Halys | 19c | 592.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Quentin Halys | 25c | 536$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…590abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 472.24$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Quentin Halys | 16c | 352.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Quentin Halys | 38c | 349.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Quentin Halys | 12c | 315.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Quentin Halys | 38c | 309.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Quentin Halys | 6c | 301$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Quentin Halys | 7c | 295.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 72c | 285.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…306ebacked Quentin Halys | 5c | 232.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Quentin Halys | 35c | 225.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Quentin Halys | 16c | 206.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Quentin Halys | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Quentin Halys | 39c | 188.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 77c | 182.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…1c15backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 61c | 163.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Quentin Halys | 15c | 148.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Quentin Halys | 25c | 114.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Quentin Halys | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Quentin Halys | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Quentin Halys | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…18bcbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 61c | 61.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Quentin Halys | 39c | 61.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Quentin Halys | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Quentin Halys | 38c | 54.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Quentin Halys | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Quentin Halys | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Quentin Halys | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Quentin Halys | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Quentin Halys | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 61c | 40.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Quentin Halys | 39c | 38.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…ffcabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Quentin Halys | 39c | 25.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…d7a8backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -9.3wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…c50abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.