Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6bd17937ef2b7bac0bc3918514a2ad6c75cff58cf4d9e9b9941ef456e65e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucknow Super Giantsof Lucknow Super Giants, Chennai Super Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 705.95$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 571$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 435.29$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 429.03$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f6e3backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 310.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 278.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…4094backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 161.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…4788backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 137.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 131.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…efeebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 111.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 102.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…562cbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…b914backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…cc6ebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 68.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 61.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…671abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 57.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 49.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…5fd5backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 49.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…b7f3backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…abbbbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…bc85backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 23.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…f0b4backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super KingsLucknow Super Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.