Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdac8d6a6d3374e7e86dc5b5f054cbc6ed6b15fdd8651374d17313726d545e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $716,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 886 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 48c | 138,271$66,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,823.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 52c | 110,860$57,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,936.48 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 90,905$47,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,082.05 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 38,740$18,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,960.67 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 52c | 31,234$16,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,106.03 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 23,452$11,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,172.19 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 47c | 20,000$9,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,529.81 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 17,684$8,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,894.95 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 15,951$7,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,304.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.84 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 48c | 12,998$6,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,744.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed No | 49c | 12,268$6,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.46 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 11,593$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,057.28 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 51c | 10,203$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.38 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 54c | 9,604$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 48c | 8,872$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 48c | 8,798$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…eecbbacked No | 13c | 8,356$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,269.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 49c | 8,002$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.01 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 6,849$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.02 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 6,726$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.96 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed No | 47c | 6,712$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 6,597$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.16 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Yes | 53c | 6,544$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.63 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 48c | 6,298$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.92 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 54c | 6,187$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 5,894$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 5,799$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.46 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 50c | 5,775$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Yes | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 48c | 5,712$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.98 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 5,597$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.85 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 54c | 4,781$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 49c | 4,302$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.95 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 49c | 3,996$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.24 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 49c | 3,850$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.96 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 51c | 3,832$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.99 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 3,700$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.77 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 52c | 3,654$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 3,568$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.83 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 48c | 3,300$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.27 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 47c | 3,003$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.52 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 49c | 2,946$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…a35dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,586$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 49c | 2,537$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.86 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b2…6042backed Yes | 48c | 2,520$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 49c | 2,431$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.38 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 52c | 2,378$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 50c | 2,323$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Yes | 26c | 2,229$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 78c | 2,164$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.97 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 2,128$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…702ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 55c | 1,954$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.89 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked Yes | 52c | 1,905$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 53c | 1,901$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.41 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 49c | 1,885$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.47 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,869$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 50c | 1,641$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.7 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 54c | 1,578$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.78 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Yes | 51c | 1,529$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 47c | 1,455$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.68 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,394$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.86 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 1,393$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.33 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 1,371$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.32 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 54c | 1,349$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.64 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 48c | 1,275$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 48c | 1,202$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.08 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 49c | 1,200$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 50c | 1,185$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.87 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 51c | 1,168$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.84 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,092$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 1,079$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed No | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 48c | 1,012$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.11 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Yes | 45c | 999.99$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…4309backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Mexico vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.