Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico vs. Portugal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd899bfb75fbd92c685ca054675ed86b6674f545fbe95e032c9794e93ac965e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 26c | 17,210$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,787.41 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 3,671$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.81 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 3,492$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.52 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 2,759$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.19 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 2,373$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.48 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 25c | 2,223$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.62 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 74c | 1,996$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.11 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,891$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.7 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 25c | 1,701$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.94 | 261 | 46%120 W · 141 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,523$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 1,482$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.03 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 1,245$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.46 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 1,192$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.49 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 71c | 1,181$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.91 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 27c | 1,098$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.98 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 57c | 1,037$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.86 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,015$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.07 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…db4bbacked Yes | 70c | 944.82$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 933$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.12 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 27c | 930$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.9 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 842$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 730.26$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.05 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 623.12$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.32 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 32c | 608.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.43 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 482.88$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 72c | 433$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.76 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 400$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Yes | 69c | 399.8$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 74c | 390$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes | 78c | 367.74$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 74c | 367.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 358.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.35 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 28c | 358.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 26c | 340.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.46 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 333.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 308.22$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…5f12backed No | 70c | 285.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 54c | 280.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 43c | 277.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 60c | 254.81$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 25c | 252.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…6bcabacked Yes | 26c | 238.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 32c | 221$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 38c | 199.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 60c | 191.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 53c | 189.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…5bfebacked Yes | 26c | 177$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…cb87backed Yes | 68c | 171.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 26c | 170.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 166.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 158$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 70c | 148$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 74c | 138.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 27c | 138.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 74c | 137.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 74c | 134.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 75c | 130.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 74c | 127$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…197dbacked Yes | 76c | 124.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 26c | 117.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 117.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d91…7781backed Yes | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 26c | 116.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 61c | 116$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 45c | 112.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 144 | 22.2%32 W · 112 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 74c | 109.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 74c | 109.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 108.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed No | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 74c | 107.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 74c | 107.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 26c | 100.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 47c | 99.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 26c | 97.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Yes | 21c | 97.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…a13cbacked Yes | 33c | 92.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Yes | 67c | 89.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed Yes | 21c | 89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 88.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 22c | 84.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 78.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…b990backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 75.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cc…b71dbacked Yes | 79c | 73.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 72c | 72.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 71.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico vs. Portugal end in a draw?this page
- Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?No won
- Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.