TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5919…95acbacked Yes23c41,553$9,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,556.4710234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c24,247$18,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,603.081,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c23,509$5,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,522.3617338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c23,412$17,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,018.5276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.974355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-79.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c12,540$9,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.381,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c10,884$8,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No77c8,414$6,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.3210558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No77c5,111$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.5155045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No74c4,415$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.1686455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c4,405$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.221444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes23c4,304$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99056541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c4,229$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.237144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes22c3,987$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.62416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No77c3,928$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.12454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No75c3,156$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.5236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No75c3,134$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.287045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes22c2,241$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.845040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No77c2,102$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.442454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No76c2,043$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.275158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No78c2,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73d…8ef8backed No77c1,962$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes22c1,827$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes22c1,706$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.254641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Yes23c1,529$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes16c1,240$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6816341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb05…4e1bbacked No78c1,240$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27642352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c1,176$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8445947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Yes7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed No77c959.26$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.636159%36 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No80c939.56$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2245039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes23c914.82$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No77c908.4$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.931,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes23c750$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No78c748.29$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7510153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c733.18$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5250850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c644.84$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.832,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1462…ef6bbacked No78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.031181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes23c585.38$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.647236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes23c584.91$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6922226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9198…11cfbacked Yes22c580.36$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No76c577.57$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6414948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes19c576$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.893240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Yes19c570.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-79%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Yes12c568.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c555.98$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.072,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1158357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No78c499.99$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.566051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes20c479$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.099145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No79c476.58$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.588040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes23c455.87$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.851533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No79c451.26$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.765541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked No78c448.72$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.721877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes21c443.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No76c423.8$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.829463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes14c405$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.811221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9221140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x952d…5256backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b7…5df2backed Yes10c390.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No77c389.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.459751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa6…39dbbacked Yes32c349.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No77c349$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8916755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No78c338.64$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4524653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes17c322.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No78c319.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7823749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No78c319.58$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.312050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed No79c314.92$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1317148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked No78c309.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.531764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes22c307$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.186314.3%9 W · 54 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-67%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784025%10 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No77c274.88$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6116758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c270.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes18c258$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.492729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.413050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b49…178dbacked Yes24c255.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.41136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No76c254.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0246536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes18c244$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.866347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c230.39$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8842043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes16c228.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.644528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Yes23c218$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505022%11 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes27c208$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.162142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes18c205$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.282347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No77c201.2$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7743653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…b039backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5046453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed No70c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4639749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c197.1$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1328754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed No77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8110667.9%72 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed No78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.315777.2%44 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.