Tennis · resolved market
Lincoln: Christian Langmo vs Yibing Wu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b05aaddf8ea402eb3776bd993b8ac762f43c328b298ece20ade51e137392d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yibing Wuof Christian Langmo, Yibing Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Christian Langmo | 6c | 22,852$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Christian Langmo | 9c | 3,423$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…f8bcbacked Christian Langmo | 5c | 2,244$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Christian Langmo | 9c | 1,228$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Christian Langmo | 15c | 970.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Christian Langmo | 14c | 718.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Christian Langmo | 5c | 653$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Christian Langmo | 16c | 631.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Christian Langmo | 16c | 582.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Christian Langmo | 7c | 472.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Christian Langmo | 16c | 460.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Christian Langmo | 13c | 290.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Christian Langmo | 14c | 278.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Christian Langmo | 14c | 226.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Christian Langmo | 10c | 207$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Christian Langmo | 13c | 199.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Christian Langmo | 10c | 126.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Christian Langmo | 15c | 108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Christian Langmo | 15c | 102.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Christian Langmo | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yibing Wu | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b25…7412backed Yibing Wu | 79c | 16.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln: Christian Langmo vs Yibing Wuthis page
- Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Langmo (+1.5)Wu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.