TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes28c36,511$10,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,157.882240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No72c35,891$25,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,049.498940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes28c35,714$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No73c18,225$13,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,920.7813748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes28c14,271$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.7411445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No72c12,971$9,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,582.4676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c12,759$9,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.682,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…d4b1backed Yes28c11,852$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.59316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…8282backed Yes24c9,500$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.991030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes27c8,717$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.124546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c7,688$5,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.752,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Yes14c7,258$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c6,944$5,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.961,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes6c6,255$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37517634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No74c4,457$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.713855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No74c4,457$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.7140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No74c4,044$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.7610848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes12c3,672$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.731,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c2,090$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes18c1,791$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes26c1,482$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes13c1,476$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19823632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No72c1,388$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.6412949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes27c1,332$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6427752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c1,269$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c1,091$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c1,004$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8353344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes9c999.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1a…4a3ebacked Yes9c973.89$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No72c803.55$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.997557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2675…e4dabacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes27c762.19$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.797638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes18c717.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0710232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes9c690$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No73c658.63$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.833043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No78c640.62$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No74c599.98$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No72c584$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.527361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes15c583.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905225%13 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c575.03$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c544.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.126319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Yes27c543.77$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.08944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No74c523.46$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c513$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No72c482.78$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No75c475.03$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7654340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes11c445.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.98037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No74c441.89$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.893161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc431…401bbacked Yes24c408.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d4…aa98backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes8c353.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No79c351.23$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.315030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c347$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c347$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.161,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x770e…e8a7backed Yes20c341.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes28c336.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.258831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes27c329.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x296f…6fbfbacked Yes17c314.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1159…6228backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0435…906bbacked Yes13c300.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes15c279.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.419834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No74c270.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.339555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2724052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes27c261.3$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.554168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c254.32$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No77c244.26$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.187660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes27c231.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes24c225.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9818352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No73c224.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7514162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7926…1e34backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes26c204.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.21625%4 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c202.27$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.11,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8969…2cabbacked Yes26c180.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83580%4 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick29cpaid+208.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Yes28c179.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.331428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x770a…2b6cbacked No74c178.26$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c160.59$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8380953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4a…d328backed No75c157.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…00bebacked Yes13c152.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes13c151.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.745433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e74…13ebbacked Yes26c151.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-69.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c145.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1538233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No75c135$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.758259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…a1cbbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.420958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c119.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.