Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f602f5b2ea87c44340284f366e39bfbfc1066b19701a381b432b6553ed39a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,967,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,996,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,967,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed No | 58c | 1,200,113$695,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504,151.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 42c | 480,169$201,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,671.01 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 42c | 205,281$86,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,217.83 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 42c | 125,000$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,500 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 42c | 90,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 42c | 90,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 42c | 56,684$23,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,807.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 57c | 53,543$30,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,137.19 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.96 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 41,565$17,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,563.26 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 0c | 26,100$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed No | 58c | 22,197$12,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,322.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 21,873$11,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,992.24 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 21,401$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.48 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 20,215$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed No | 55c | 19,800$10,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,812 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 44c | 19,592$8,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,620.35 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 42c | 18,888$7,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,932.96 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 19c | 18,078$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 6c | 15,414$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 35c | 13,000$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.99 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 58c | 12,069$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.97 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71e…79a1backed Yes | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 55c | 11,987$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.09 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…f835backed Yes | 6c | 10,938$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212.01 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 54c | 10,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Yes | 46c | 9,239$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 19c | 9,171$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…277dbacked Yes | 43c | 7,977$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 45c | 6,851$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.37 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 56c | 6,068$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.92 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 55c | 5,555$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.89 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 55c | 5,460$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 13c | 5,450$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 46c | 4,674$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 11c | 4,616$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.57 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 44c | 4,444$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 58c | 4,250$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 4,142$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.35 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 54c | 4,085$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.1 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 54c | 4,016$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.14 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 56c | 3,910$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,691$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 55c | 3,644$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.8 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Yes | 43c | 3,555$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.65 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 43c | 3,464$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.32 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 43c | 3,239$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.57 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,220$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.33 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 58c | 3,200$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 3,172$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 55c | 3,131$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.55 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 45c | 3,087$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 3,060$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.31 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 54c | 3,030$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.8 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 77c | 2,863$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.33 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…9d99backed No | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 56c | 2,601$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.38 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,582$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 2,455$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.25 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 43c | 2,455$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.46 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 56c | 2,139$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.34 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 6c | 2,045$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 54c | 2,017$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.77 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 55c | 2,009$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 2,006$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.97 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 45c | 2,001$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,894$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1afbbacked No | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 1,848$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.63 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,815$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.9 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…9885backed Yes | 7c | 1,801$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 46c | 1,793$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,605$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 45c | 1,594$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.28 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 1,550$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.03 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.