Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b84c2fdf3062d9b2d3940127843c7c6ab5870f8761b87b54a494fd98c413b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 42c | 33,147$13,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,364.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 7,733$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 60c | 6,931$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.99 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 6,218$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.57 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes | 73c | 5,160$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 5,045$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.95 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 3,983$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.9 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 12c | 1,699$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.06 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Yes | 62c | 1,267$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 1,130$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.55 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 59c | 878$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.42 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 856.18$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.71 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 59c | 797$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.23 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 67c | 784.58$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.63 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 65c | 769.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 32c | 723.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.43 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 713.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 74c | 657.89$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 70c | 642.43$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.28 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 60c | 636.66$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 48c | 619.87$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.7 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 69c | 569.1$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.54 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 66c | 527.23$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.97 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 59c | 516.95$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 74c | 445.52$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.68 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 59c | 439.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.22 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 56c | 408.51$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 70c | 394.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 360$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 35c | 336.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.03 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 70c | 286.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…34b7backed Yes | 51c | 279.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 270.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 15c | 255.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.15 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 35c | 244.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 42c | 239.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…ad74backed Yes | 59c | 233$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 59c | 231.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 14c | 230.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…58d4backed Yes | 34c | 226.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 219$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 219$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 59c | 202.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 13c | 177.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.04 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Yes | 69c | 170.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 168.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…d88dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 163.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b5…2a1bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 28c | 160.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 57c | 160$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 153.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 35c | 144.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 40c | 143.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 44c | 138.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 50c | 133.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 133.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b6d7backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 26c | 124.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 60c | 121.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked No | 11c | 118.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 118.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…30b9backed Yes | 60c | 113.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Yes | 67c | 112.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 31c | 112.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 44c | 107.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 104.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 15c | 100.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 67c | 96.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 60c | 83.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 25c | 80.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 45c | 78.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…1159backed Yes | 62c | 78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 59c | 64.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 43c | 62.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.