Europa Conference League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f38af0c2dcbfed9fd3ec11b4d2032a1a4da1d33a43a5f64e346b4da3e93155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 3,452$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 3,042$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 34c | 2,972$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 66c | 686.01$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 36c | 666.32$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Yes | 33c | 579.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…7f1dbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 37c | 541.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 399.82$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 29c | 391.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 24c | 316.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…85a5backed Yes | 34c | 291.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 7c | 174.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 28c | 165.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 143.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…401bbacked Yes | 35c | 139$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 112.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Yes | 34c | 104.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 64c | 95.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed No | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 84.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 76c | 65.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6774…639ebacked Yes | 35c | 62.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…e897backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 67c | 51.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…7db5backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…2762backed Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC leading at halftime?this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.