MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ff86e10b5a6b3d77f8312d62dfd85bce0ef9885d705083a5fe8804b6644c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof New York Yankees, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397d…681abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 50,981$24,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Yankees | 51c | 26,320$13,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,365.5 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed New York Yankees | 43c | 24,330$10,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,389.51 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed New York Yankees | 51c | 24,132$12,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,313.98 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed New York Yankees | 53c | 17,754$9,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,409.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 12,731$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620.21 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New York Yankees | 53c | 10,688$5,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,664.55 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 9,858$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.63 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 9,450$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.47 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 8,774$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.57 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 8,386$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.45 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 6,671$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.29 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 39c | 6,466$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 6,313$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.68 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,627$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.27 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Yankees | 51c | 5,483$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.62 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 5,442$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,067$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.88 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 4,820$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 51c | 3,988$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.75 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 3,973$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 3,810$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.1 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 3,762$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.67 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 3,602$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.03 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 3,417$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.07 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 3,277$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 3,242$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.28 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…ed6dbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 3,233$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 37cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 3,120$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.52 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 3,115$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.95 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 3,113$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 45c | 3,030$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed New York Yankees | 39c | 2,782$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New York Yankees | 27c | 2,464$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.17 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 51c | 2,463$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.88 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,437$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees | 36c | 2,331$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.58 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,284$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.47 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,191$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 2,190$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…55d3backed New York Yankees | 38c | 2,178$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 34c | 2,141$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.06 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,140$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.38 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.11 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,046$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed New York Yankees | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.16 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,938$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,931$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Yankees | 40c | 1,767$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.98 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.95 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…b225backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,478$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,468$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.8 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees | 48c | 1,427$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.53 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,369$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.03 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,363$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees | 28c | 1,099$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.26 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,089$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.04 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 993.42$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 39c | 991.26$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.81 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 986.73$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.62 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed New York Yankees | 52c | 985.02$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.21 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Yankees | 51c | 966.08$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 39c | 957.14$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.69 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed New York Yankees | 53c | 929.3$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked New York Yankees | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed New York Yankees | 52c | 894.93$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.36 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed New York Yankees | 45c | 878.01$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.04 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 837.83$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 811.61$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.75 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed New York Yankees | 43c | 767.68$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.87 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 52c | 767.1$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.89 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 744.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees | 53c | 743.44$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.02 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 719.31$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.74 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 718.22$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.02 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 684.84$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.54 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Yankees | 52c | 663$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 646.38$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked New York Yankees | 32c | 616.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 598.69$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees | 33c | 598.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 593.62$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 591.02$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked New York Yankees | 52c | 569.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 568.28$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 558.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.14 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 550$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed New York Yankees | 44c | 541.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…35c6backed New York Yankees | 49c | 534.17$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 522$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.74 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 510.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.21 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed New York Yankees | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 494.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Yankees | 44c | 492.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 492.5$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed New York Yankees | 38c | 486.11$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed New York Yankees | 52c | 473.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed New York Yankees | 52c | 473.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.