Cricket · resolved market
Will India win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9cb813392787cdb618a38d30fc3202c05f192a6ef71c0abd33600f79804b7a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 34c | 5,561$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.87 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 16c | 2,849$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.7 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…9a82backed Yes | 38c | 2,515$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 2,290$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…c239backed Yes | 75c | 1,073$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 19c | 888.81$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 9c | 407.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed No | 30c | 399.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 21c | 398.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 68c | 374.68$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 373.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 103 | 16.5%17 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 356.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Yes | 79c | 349.24$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Yes | 77c | 330$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 16c | 283.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 40c | 283.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Yes | 38c | 252.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yes | 24c | 243.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked No | 62c | 221.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 79c | 218$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed No | 67c | 216.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Yes | 43c | 200.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…e612backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 80c | 180.86$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…d4c4backed Yes | 55c | 174.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked No | 15c | 150.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Yes | 66c | 140.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…071abacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes | 80c | 120.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 66c | 105.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 103.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…fcf8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…97a1backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 49c | 72.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Yes | 34c | 67.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 25c | 51.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…e897backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…3c62backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked No | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…b882backed Yes | 24c | 49.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…c8cbbacked Yes | 38c | 47.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 36c | 46.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Yes | 23c | 45.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8578backed Yes | 23c | 45.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 66c | 43.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes | 38c | 42.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 40c | 39.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c25…a1fcbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed No | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…866abacked Yes | 38c | 33.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 64c | 28.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…0358backed Yes | 60c | 26.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…3fa5backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…1a3cbacked No | 68c | 17.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 70c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8f24backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will India win?this page
- Will England win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.