TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x801f…3c62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10660.4%64 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$51.43
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Jackson McVey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Shanelle Dyer win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$21.7
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.17
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Lucas Fernando · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Diyar Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$13.62
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vlasto Cepo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+493.2%+$419.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$33.68
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$119.17
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.61
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$443.01
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$13.71
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$12.75
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ShindeN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$23.5
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Zomblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Voca (BO3) - FRAG Group Dbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$34.09
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.12
Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs EMPIRE (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stagebacked Team Aether · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs InControl (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked F5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$23.64
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$70.48
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$50.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+114.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+328.3%+$63.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Major League Cricket: Texas Super Kings vs Washington Freedombacked Texas Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.