UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x647307a0f2ec21d3d8a65aca4e4483b24942e353f2ced97f32c73d2674a75c12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitor Petrinoof Serghei Spivac, Vitor Petrino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $570,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $607,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Serghei Spivac | 43c | 215,316$92,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,309.03 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Vitor Petrino | 58c | 95,554$55,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,188.22 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 47,000$26,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,210 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 33,059$18,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,151 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 16,036$9,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.1 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Vitor Petrino | 76c | 15,516$11,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.92 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…7e6ebacked Vitor Petrino | 58c | 14,932$8,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Serghei Spivac | 15c | 10,785$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…cedebacked Vitor Petrino | 72c | 9,714$6,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +71%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Serghei Spivac | 43c | 8,705$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.13 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 8,295$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vitor Petrino | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.98 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Vitor Petrino | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.97 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Serghei Spivac | 43c | 6,057$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.72 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 5,951$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.45 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Serghei Spivac | 42c | 5,900$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.99 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Vitor Petrino | 59c | 5,888$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.07 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Serghei Spivac | 22c | 4,837$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.64 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Vitor Petrino | 58c | 4,454$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Serghei Spivac | 41c | 4,285$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.69 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 4,025$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.3 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…2665backed Vitor Petrino | 60c | 3,814$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Serghei Spivac | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Serghei Spivac | 32c | 3,413$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.19 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…a74ebacked Serghei Spivac | 36c | 3,202$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Serghei Spivac | 30c | 3,051$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.56 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Serghei Spivac | 11c | 3,008$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.52 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Vitor Petrino | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Serghei Spivac | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.95 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Serghei Spivac | 14c | 2,919$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.56 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Serghei Spivac | 15c | 2,648$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.69 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Vitor Petrino | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 2,465$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Serghei Spivac | 42c | 2,326$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Serghei Spivac | 11c | 2,320$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 2,249$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.06 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Vitor Petrino | 58c | 2,103$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.45 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3365…022fbacked Serghei Spivac | 42c | 2,071$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Serghei Spivac | 40c | 2,000$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.22 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Vitor Petrino | 72c | 1,920$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Serghei Spivac | 40c | 1,875$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.92 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Serghei Spivac | 13c | 1,857$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Vitor Petrino | 57c | 1,826$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 1,825$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…2086backed Serghei Spivac | 12c | 1,651$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Serghei Spivac | 30c | 1,556$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Serghei Spivac | 43c | 1,500$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…fc99backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 1,454$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 1,447$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.86 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Serghei Spivac | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Serghei Spivac | 15c | 1,145$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Serghei Spivac | 44c | 1,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Serghei Spivac | 43c | 1,032$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 1,030$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Vitor Petrino | 58c | 1,020$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.72 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Serghei Spivac | 41c | 1,009$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.7 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…7612backed Serghei Spivac | 34c | 1,002$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Serghei Spivac | 27c | 999.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Serghei Spivac | 21c | 976.17$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Serghei Spivac | 41c | 952.39$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 914.92$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.41 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Serghei Spivac | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Serghei Spivac | 31c | 888.21$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Serghei Spivac | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…999abacked Serghei Spivac | 37c | 850.9$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…2dc8backed Serghei Spivac | 40c | 849.17$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 809$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.78 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Vitor Petrino | 61c | 798.02$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.47 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Vitor Petrino | 78c | 768.45$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Serghei Spivac | 39c | 749.01$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Serghei Spivac | 16c | 746.22$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Vitor Petrino | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Serghei Spivac | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Serghei Spivac | 43c | 654.51$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.44 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Serghei Spivac | 36c | 638.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Serghei Spivac | 24c | 617.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 612.87$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.41 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…9251backed Vitor Petrino | 66c | 608.33$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Serghei Spivac | 11c | 604.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574c…5e18backed Serghei Spivac | 43c | 603.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Serghei Spivac | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Serghei Spivac | 42c | 581.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…56cdbacked Serghei Spivac | 43c | 570$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…f54ebacked Vitor Petrino | 59c | 568$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Vitor Petrino | 58c | 554.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…7c29backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Vitor Petrino | 71c | 522.62$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Vitor Petrino | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.