TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ShindeNof Imperial, ShindeN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf80…3259backed ShindeN51c17,341$8,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,543.2810056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Imperial52c13,113$6,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,878.793,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Imperial37c6,336$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.1610749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x451e…b13fbacked Imperial65c6,105$3,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ShindeN49c5,942$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.371,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Imperial56c5,312$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.541,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed ShindeN43c5,132$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.991,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ShindeN43c4,714$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.592,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Imperial54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9843951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN56c3,911$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.476,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed ShindeN73c3,527$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.4919057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…be15backed Imperial59c2,590$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.013154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked ShindeN53c2,097$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.4863157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked ShindeN72c2,042$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.6718444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Imperial59c2,029$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.981163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked ShindeN40c2,024$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.3714659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Imperial65c2,022$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32013142%55 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial65c2,002$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.435,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial51c1,929$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ShindeN36c1,850$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1841,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ShindeN35c1,818$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.91,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed ShindeN46c1,223$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.2851942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed ShindeN39c1,222$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.4840542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Imperial55c1,204$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.4933949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Imperial50c1,158$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5841,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Imperial67c1,154$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.4859755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed ShindeN36c1,140$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.5951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Imperial39c1,000$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4355941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Imperial48c852.96$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.942,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Imperial59c850$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.53839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ShindeN51c823.42$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.153,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ShindeN61c809.53$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.212,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ShindeN33c743.81$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.382,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Imperial51c743.64$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9942154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN46c716.88$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.661,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed ShindeN36c705.56$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5635839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed ShindeN29c669.62$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.139646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN50c667.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.672,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked ShindeN75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed ShindeN61c581.3$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.244845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ShindeN40c576.11$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.941,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Imperial45c569.84$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2719061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed ShindeN42c557.9$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5812748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ShindeN49c557.81$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.554,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed ShindeN36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5621947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Imperial47c552.5$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.635,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial46c546.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.577,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN34c516.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.225,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Imperial68c508.73$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.2826360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN48c505.39$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.782,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked ShindeN50c500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Imperial52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26014454.9%79 W · 65 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Imperial19c432.35$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4643152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked ShindeN33c405.01$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.368047.5%38 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial63c398.04$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.772,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed ShindeN49c391.48$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.181,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Imperial57c390.75$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Imperial21c388$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.481,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Imperial39c386.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.11,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed ShindeN78c380.91$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.953265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked ShindeN34c360$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.639338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Imperial43c340$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.238052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed ShindeN70c322$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Imperial63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010063%63 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ce…11a2backed Imperial51c308.24$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.994065%26 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ShindeN46c292.16$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.122,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked ShindeN41c291.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.751,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Imperial35c280.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9853034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Imperial66c279.31$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3446555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial40c270.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.671,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed ShindeN71c270$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.93562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed ShindeN40c225$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1358556.5%48 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed ShindeN35c214.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.281442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked Imperial51c213.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Imperial11c212.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3922837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed ShindeN68c209.89$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.162763%17 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial37c200.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.945,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9d…2ee4backed ShindeN33c199.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.991637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Imperial43c197.9$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3213537%50 W · 85 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked ShindeN60c197$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7815337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x012b…7c42backed Imperial43c179.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked ShindeN39c176.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1537922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ShindeN48c172.43$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.71,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Imperial42c171$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3110438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ShindeN41c170.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.324,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial45c167.26$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.433,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial49c166.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.142,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked ShindeN66c163.64$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6417449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Imperial65c153.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.512,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed ShindeN39c152.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0726048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Imperial37c150.01$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Imperial65c149.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.499837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Imperial57c144.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8929455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN66c144.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.023,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ShindeN43c138$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.392,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Imperial51c122.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed ShindeN37c118.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9212750.4%64 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8249…9169backed Imperial26c117.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed ShindeN42c113.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.62962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked ShindeN60c112.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.