TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, ShindeN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN36c13,612$4,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,847.033,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Imperial69c4,431$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.361,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x451e…b13fbacked Imperial72c4,020$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Imperial58c3,386$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.241,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed ShindeN35c2,450$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.774845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Imperial50c1,825$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.7275356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Imperial50c1,755$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.3444551.2%228 W · 217 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Imperial65c1,723$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.931,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1982…be15backed Imperial75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3753154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Imperial68c1,400$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6413655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed ShindeN26c1,367$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0452242.5%222 W · 300 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked ShindeN35c1,269$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5663457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed ShindeN40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial54c970$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4175545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ShindeN39c937.42$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.941,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked ShindeN38c914$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4394945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Imperial54c871.6$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.742,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed ShindeN63c775.34$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7821947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed ShindeN41c771.62$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.521,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked ShindeN32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed ShindeN39c739$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9628651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN33c706.62$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.622,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN35c687.94$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.436,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Imperial66c670.12$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.833949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed ShindeN27c648.62$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5361834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Imperial50c635.28$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6416850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed ShindeN31c616.26$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.339051.1%46 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked ShindeN26c608.55$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.228743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked ShindeN26c538.31$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9612443.5%54 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Imperial58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2412748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Imperial73c513.87$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.982,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ShindeN37c486.57$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.553,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Imperial42c476$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1840234.6%139 W · 263 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ShindeN34c432.01$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.274,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed Imperial59c424.82$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3817644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Imperial53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18827831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Imperial66c397.22$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8442854.9%235 W · 193 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Imperial59c352$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0319447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ShindeN40c313$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.832,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked ShindeN22c312.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.919548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe35b…b542backed Imperial64c288.93$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.013935.9%14 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed Imperial37c255$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.657548%36 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Imperial40c249.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9919336.3%70 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Imperial56c248.78$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.862,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Imperial75c239.02$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.011,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Imperial41c222.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3427647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Imperial65c210.39$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.641,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ShindeN48c208.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.092,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Imperial58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.96854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN38c177.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.794,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked ShindeN39c177$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.037850%39 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked ShindeN36c167.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.241,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Imperial43c167.22$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7134547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ShindeN17c152$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.173,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed ShindeN28c138.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Imperial63c137.32$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0125342.3%107 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7144…16a8backed ShindeN28c137.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed ShindeN41c133.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2668172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed ShindeN26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN31c113.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.822,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ShindeN55c113$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.252,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Imperial37c103.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7812750.4%64 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ShindeN37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3792145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Imperial61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3973553.5%393 W · 342 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Imperial74c96.04$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.979142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial64c95.63$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.433,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ShindeN47c91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.071,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Imperial59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7510855.6%60 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked ShindeN60c82.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7539353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN39c82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.842,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Imperial61c78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.185,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed ShindeN26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ShindeN36c76.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.71,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed ShindeN36c76.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4523150.2%116 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Imperial61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.259442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed ShindeN27c74.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Imperial63c64.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0759044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked ShindeN31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.639338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed ShindeN43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537549.1%184 W · 191 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Imperial57c58.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2564748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed ShindeN26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed Imperial55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked ShindeN35c54.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911147.7%53 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ShindeN39c53.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.845,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed ShindeN60c53.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8835848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Imperial63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.519150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked ShindeN45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.559445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Imperial65c47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.391,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb6…052dbacked Imperial66c44.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.852157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Imperial68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.818059.4%107 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ShindeN64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.62,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed ShindeN35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked ShindeN46c36.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6438259.7%228 W · 154 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Imperial51c34.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9777346.1%356 W · 417 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Imperial63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5822449.6%111 W · 113 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked Imperial47c30.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.223751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2295…8f0fbacked ShindeN35c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.442346.3%196 W · 227 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed Imperial79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.38163%51 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Imperial66c29.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.927660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.