CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb082330d682926f9ac8143b8d3454c0ab7ee783e6af7b437fe94b082803bf603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof Imperial, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ShindeN | 39c | 9,150$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,587.6 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial | 48c | 7,033$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.83 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed ShindeN | 72c | 7,028$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.15 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 58c | 6,409$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Imperial | 49c | 3,000$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.21 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Imperial | 76c | 2,092$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN | 49c | 1,628$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.41 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial | 56c | 1,269$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.85 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ShindeN | 32c | 1,233$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.08 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN | 34c | 1,023$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed ShindeN | 41c | 957.9$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ShindeN | 36c | 900$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ShindeN | 30c | 831.2$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.1 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Imperial | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ShindeN | 21c | 700$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Imperial | 51c | 668.38$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.14 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ShindeN | 37c | 625.8$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.9 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ShindeN | 46c | 590$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Imperial | 64c | 526.03$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.12 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed ShindeN | 29c | 487.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.18 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Imperial | 54c | 400.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.94 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Imperial | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Imperial | 33c | 337.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Imperial | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ShindeN | 33c | 300.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Imperial | 41c | 299.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN | 49c | 291$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed ShindeN | 36c | 260.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked Imperial | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ShindeN | 55c | 243$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ShindeN | 40c | 226.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Imperial | 61c | 213.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked ShindeN | 63c | 175.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked ShindeN | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed ShindeN | 66c | 172.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed ShindeN | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 43c | 136.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked ShindeN | 70c | 134.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 65c | 132.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked ShindeN | 30c | 126.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked ShindeN | 19c | 124$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ShindeN | 31c | 119.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ShindeN | 70c | 103.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ShindeN | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed ShindeN | 27c | 98.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Imperial | 57c | 84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed ShindeN | 42c | 78.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Imperial | 66c | 74.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Imperial | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked ShindeN | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Imperial | 49c | 60.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Imperial | 60c | 59.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked ShindeN | 57c | 56.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked ShindeN | 30c | 55.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Imperial | 40c | 55.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…d118backed ShindeN | 62c | 50.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Imperial | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Imperial | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed Imperial | 77c | 45.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked ShindeN | 29c | 44.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 53c | 43.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Imperial | 46c | 42.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed ShindeN | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked ShindeN | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ShindeN | 61c | 29.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ShindeN | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed ShindeN | 49c | 22.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Imperial | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)ShindeN won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.