NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2867614ca6c032fe5eb49b43a06d7bfe2834bc1936b9ebe5a6e463fd56c4e54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Cavaliers, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,200,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,699,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,200,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,162,307$521,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521,323.86 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 44c | 642,554$282,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282,723.59 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers | 55c | 630,060$349,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280,553.33 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 70c | 343,019$239,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,211.24 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 299,096$137,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,084.01 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Lakers | 55c | 230,000$126,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,500 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Lakers | 55c | 181,260$99,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,566.97 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 57c | 170,912$97,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,492.28 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lakers | 55c | 164,540$90,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,042.93 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34b…3b60backed Cavaliers | 43c | 156,193$67,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,163.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 55c | 156,013$86,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,847.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 56c | 141,431$79,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,378.39 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers | 56c | 121,711$68,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,558.89 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 43c | 112,866$48,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,087.03 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cavaliers | 46c | 108,631$49,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,970.18 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 56c | 99,767$55,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,909.38 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lakers | 55c | 97,187$53,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,652.83 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers | 44c | 96,640$42,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,521.6 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Lakers | 55c | 84,000$46,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,559.89 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 3c | 80,897$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.5 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Cavaliers | 0c | 66,958$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 54c | 61,599$33,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,226.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Cavaliers | 44c | 60,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,400 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Lakers | 54c | 59,665$32,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,472.1 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers | 44c | 51,945$22,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,864.84 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lakers | 54c | 48,620$26,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,365.2 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lakers | 62c | 46,037$28,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,706.75 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lakers | 55c | 45,200$24,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,340 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Lakers | 57c | 42,625$24,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,328.91 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 80c | 40,765$32,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.52 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Lakers | 53c | 39,935$21,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,769.3 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 39,648$17,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,317.1 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 38,771$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,254.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 44c | 37,683$16,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,580.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 55c | 35,281$19,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,777.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 55c | 34,459$18,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,495.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Cavaliers | 45c | 30,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.99 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Lakers | 56c | 29,208$16,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,851.52 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…21b4backed Lakers | 56c | 27,403$15,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,057.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 10c | 26,413$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.51 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cavaliers | 44c | 26,148$11,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,505.09 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Lakers | 55c | 25,549$13,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,624.34 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Cavaliers | 45c | 24,943$11,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,224.13 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 23,227$10,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,398.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 33c | 22,768$7,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436.14 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Lakers | 54c | 20,960$11,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,641.52 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 20,005$9,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,202.28 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.88 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Cavaliers | 29c | 19,769$5,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,672.46 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Cavaliers | 45c | 19,340$8,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,703 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 50c | 18,155$9,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,023.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 55c | 17,615$9,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,883.67 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Lakers | 54c | 15,010$8,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.59 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Cavaliers | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.03 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Lakers | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Lakers | 56c | 13,909$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.77 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 32c | 13,510$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Lakers | 74c | 13,112$9,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.55 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Cavaliers | 45c | 12,888$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.2 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Cavaliers | 0c | 11,827$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Cavaliers | 44c | 11,593$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.93 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers | 1c | 11,149$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Lakers | 54c | 10,804$5,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.04 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers | 55c | 10,777$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.54 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lakers | 55c | 10,700$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.43 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Lakers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Lakers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.87 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lakers | 56c | 9,999$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.39 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Lakers | 54c | 9,995$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,597.64 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Lakers | 55c | 9,730$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.5 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 44c | 9,664$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.16 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Cavaliers | 44c | 9,664$4,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.16 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cavaliers | 45c | 9,393$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.4 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Cavaliers | 44c | 9,225$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Lakers | 54c | 9,004$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4f84backed Cavaliers | 18c | 8,930$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…1ae6backed Cavaliers | 43c | 8,851$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Cavaliers | 45c | 8,746$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.61 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 8,706$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.54 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lakers | 56c | 8,668$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.34 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Lakers | 51c | 8,563$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.7 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Lakers | 58c | 8,450$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.41 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Lakers | 66c | 8,403$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Cavaliers | 45c | 8,234$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.04 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers | 0c | 8,232$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 8,000$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.96 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Lakers | 54c | 7,998$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.14 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Lakers | 59c | 7,931$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.59 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 56c | 7,789$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.07 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…8e9fbacked Lakers | 49c | 7,774$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 7,667$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.43 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Cavaliers | 1c | 7,375$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers | 45c | 7,198$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.52 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…7b56backed Lakers | 64c | 7,096$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.42 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers | 44c | 7,000$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.09 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Cavaliers | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Cavaliers | 17c | 6,923$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.93 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Lakers | 57c | 6,836$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.69 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Cavaliers | 33c | 6,685$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.04 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.