TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under55c50,103$27,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,543.8587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Over45c26,494$11,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,571.73129%9 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over45c13,315$5,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,323.138839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Over44c7,303$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.596841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c6,920$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.194,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under56c4,722$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.059349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over47c4,260$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.794134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c4,214$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over47c3,863$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.3830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Under44c3,023$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.7220843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c2,845$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.512,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c2,660$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,385$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Under45c2,150$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.486144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c1,855$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.532,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Under53c1,831$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.846764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Over46c1,722$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.132065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under54c1,433$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.074269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x721b…f6ebbacked Over54c1,317$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,249$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.031,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under27c1,154$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Under51c989.8$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.810046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under56c973.6$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2237755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under55c973$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1513959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over47c964.13$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9924151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36b…242dbacked Under51c949.4$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.341250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under58c839.71$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.419652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under58c837.28$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.478859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under54c831.85$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44724650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Over47c824$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.722356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Under57c789.66$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.58763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under35c785.77$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.5520741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c785.19$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c780.43$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under56c778.88$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.1791050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c774.42$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.911,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over59c692.39$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.91,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c687.24$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3781,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under56c679.94$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over48c671.36$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.643,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under53c657$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2131354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under51c647.89$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.719853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Under53c613.28$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0421450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c612.09$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.31,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Under61c599.96$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.982245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae2…d963backed Over49c595.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.561145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba3…89cabacked Over53c533.93$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c484.18$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.566,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.817051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c464.25$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6900…b6c2backed Under38c449.98$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed Under58c448.24$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over59c435.47$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.961,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b54…dc2bbacked Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c424$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3614549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Under52c386.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.231464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over44c385.76$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c371.65$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.152,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over46c361.53$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over44c327.61$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Over56c326$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.237441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b06…9672backed Under50c319.33$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over65c300$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over53c300$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14017748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under53c283$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9910854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over52c260$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7511538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Over52c260$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.758040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over48c258.87$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6114243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2819756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aef…da41backed Under43c250$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Over52c244$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5612637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.44553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over52c217$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.226639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Under53c206.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.116550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under53c194.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.015651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Under46c186.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.954845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c12…b8f3backed Under54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.243256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.421347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under55c177.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2928949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over44c171.42$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over44c159.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.356547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over44c159.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.345646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over57c157$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over56c157$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.140440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c152$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over46c137$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c136.05$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1142853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over44c122.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under47c121$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8720744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over51c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3731238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over57c118$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.733030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c116.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.692,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under13c110$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2110651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over56c108.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.051,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over56c102$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7345544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524850%124 W · 124 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.