CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs EMPIRE (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa39524336388815c98b04a884eaedb7acffe78ff1415700e01c736355978743e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EMPIREof Team Aether, EMPIRE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed EMPIRE | 18c | 774.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.56 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked EMPIRE | 25c | 495.74$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.4 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Aether | 72c | 407.35$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.01 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked EMPIRE | 51c | 390.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Aether | 50c | 370.05$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked EMPIRE | 33c | 166.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Aether | 64c | 152.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed EMPIRE | 17c | 147.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EMPIRE | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed EMPIRE | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…3c62backed Team Aether | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed EMPIRE | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed EMPIRE | 30c | 90.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed EMPIRE | 37c | 69.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked EMPIRE | 39c | 69.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed EMPIRE | 46c | 64.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Team Aether | 62c | 63.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Team Aether | 68c | 50.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed EMPIRE | 41c | 48.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed EMPIRE | 24c | 45.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed EMPIRE | 29c | 43.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked Team Aether | 63c | 42.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…5c8ebacked Team Aether | 45c | 38.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked EMPIRE | 71c | 37.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked EMPIRE | 62c | 35.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Team Aether | 59c | 33.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed EMPIRE | 36c | 31.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked EMPIRE | 38c | 29.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Team Aether | 62c | 23.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed EMPIRE | 61c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs EMPIRE (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs EMPIRE - Map 1 WinnerTeam Aether won
- Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs EMPIRE - Map 2 WinnerEMPIRE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.