CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Voca (BO3) - FRAG Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31d6e9faf896828a496f58b5e7c88dbd0530dd488e2da7d016e7cff2f8154f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Voca | 55c | 2,368$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.29 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Marsborne | 56c | 1,745$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.64 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Marsborne | 37c | 873.92$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Voca | 63c | 593.27$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.54 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Marsborne | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Marsborne | 55c | 478.47$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Voca | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Voca | 64c | 388.15$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Marsborne | 43c | 225.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Voca | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Voca | 20c | 143.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 40c | 131.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Marsborne | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…2cd4backed Marsborne | 48c | 99.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…ee0cbacked Voca | 55c | 92.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…e3e0backed Marsborne | 44c | 63.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Voca | 52c | 61.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…3c62backed Marsborne | 36c | 52.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Voca | 56c | 52.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Marsborne | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked Voca | 52c | 26.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.