TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87f1…21fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.36
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.28
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.44
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.67
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.19
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.77
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$27.85
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.36
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$12.11
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.49
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.18
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.64
Game Handicap: VKS.A (-1.5) vs 7REX (+1.5)backed 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.42
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs JAM - Map 2 Winnerbacked JAM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$15.49
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Zomblers - Map 2 Winnerbacked Zomblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$55.31
Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.22
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Sashi Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$85.83
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - FRAG Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Voca (BO3) - FRAG Group Dbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$128.7
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs The Last Resort - Map 2 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$44.29
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.45
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.84
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 4 Winnerbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.52
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$21.48
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$51.05
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+129%+$36.04
1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.28
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$11.85
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.18
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.69
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112%+$30.49
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+1.5)backed Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$17.68
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5)backed Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.9
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.04
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.89
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 2 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.29
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$67.28
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group Abacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+208.2%+$99.86
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group Bbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+277.5%+$29.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.