Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e996fe7433060876c4c3394cb828e2a4dd4852de3de153411509de5a24086c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed M80 | 75c | 23,000$17,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.07 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked M80 | 55c | 11,285$6,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,101.63 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 19c | 11,057$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.51 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked M80 | 63c | 10,258$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.55 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 6,974$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed M80 | 65c | 5,493$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.46 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 28c | 5,318$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.25 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 2,900$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.98 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed M80 | 71c | 2,677$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.34 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 38c | 2,660$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.25 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 2,333$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.82 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 25c | 2,102$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.2 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 73c | 2,038$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.08 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 55c | 2,027$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.31 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 2,018$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.38 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked M80 | 69c | 2,006$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.9 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 1,698$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.95 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…ea43backed M80 | 59c | 1,582$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 1,569$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.51 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 23c | 1,225$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.46 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 1,221$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.03 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked M80 | 69c | 1,110$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.78 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…1c31backed M80 | 72c | 1,088$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 1,084$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed M80 | 72c | 1,006$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.39 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 1,004$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 226 | 49.1%111 W · 115 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed M80 | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked M80 | 60c | 953.03$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.94 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 22c | 934.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 919.9$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 42c | 891$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.41 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 24c | 858.05$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.07 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked M80 | 77c | 805.54$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 23c | 736.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 689.27$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.17 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 26c | 681.79$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 32c | 662.74$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 604.56$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed M80 | 67c | 600.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked M80 | 54c | 492.66$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 476.66$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 33c | 464.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 518 | 49.6%257 W · 261 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 25c | 450.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…613bbacked M80 | 56c | 431.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed M80 | 55c | 428.91$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 419.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…9934backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 23c | 415.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 410.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed M80 | 76c | 392.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 26c | 385.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 72c | 375.7$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 48c | 354.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed M80 | 76c | 340$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 25c | 299.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed M80 | 65c | 298.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked M80 | 67c | 298.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 285$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed M80 | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 273.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 32c | 270.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 26c | 255.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 252.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 42c | 247.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 27c | 240.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed M80 | 68c | 226.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed M80 | 68c | 221.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 235 | 63.4%149 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…9c49backed M80 | 67c | 219.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked M80 | 63c | 216.26$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed M80 | 77c | 211.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 21c | 210.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed M80 | 61c | 202.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked M80 | 58c | 197.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…db33backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 189.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 180$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 23c | 174.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 545 | 42.2%230 W · 315 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 164.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 21c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed M80 | 63c | 154.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 256 | 45.3%116 W · 140 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked M80 | 68c | 145$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4f28backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 24c | 139.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 136.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 24c | 135.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 42c | 132.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked M80 | 61c | 131.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked M80 | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…9aaabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 38c | 129.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…8febbacked M80 | 56c | 128.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 43c | 126.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf272…c118backed M80 | 57c | 126.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 3 WinnerM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 4 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.