Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb40a88857c670755631a1340f52748f00d9696097b0e454a31413e0b8aa3ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joblifeof Natus Vincere, Joblife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Joblife | 61c | 2,904$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.75 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Joblife | 61c | 2,384$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.69 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,602$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Joblife | 64c | 1,463$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.66 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 759.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 753.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 548$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 189 | 40.7%77 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 419.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Joblife | 64c | 405.63$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Joblife | 62c | 288$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…a3bfbacked Joblife | 62c | 273.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Joblife | 62c | 225.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Joblife | 60c | 202.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 81.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Joblife | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Joblife | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…cceebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Joblife | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Joblife | 62c | 49.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Joblife | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Joblife | 54c | 46.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Joblife | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Joblife | 62c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5)Joblife won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5)Natus Vincere won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsJoblife won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 WinnerJoblife won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.