TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Joblife
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere67c33,416$22,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,029.9524145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Joblife33c31,940$10,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,540.1934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed Joblife32c7,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.92055%11 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8004630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Joblife35c4,726$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.1640945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Natus Vincere78c3,746$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.6613355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere69c3,695$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.2853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Natus Vincere79c3,494$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.191770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Joblife34c2,480$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.215464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere68c2,351$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Joblife29c2,000$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Joblife35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Natus Vincere64c1,873$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.0235142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere69c1,815$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Joblife36c1,815$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.364751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere67c1,565$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9356551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Joblife35c1,559$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere67c1,182$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.9565559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Joblife40c1,117$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.1610455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere67c1,080$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0178562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Joblife33c1,060$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.85263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Joblife32c1,036$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.92825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Natus Vincere60c921.46$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.223161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Natus Vincere63c842.99$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9113743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4723…5f64backed Joblife38c812.89$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Natus Vincere65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Joblife23c609.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere78c576.92$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd571…3145backed Joblife25c508.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Joblife35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17532047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere60c490.58$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3732141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed Joblife31c431.09$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Joblife35c400$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14115342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere64c399.98$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9962156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b9…7c77backed Joblife31c381.36$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.07520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b81…613dbacked Joblife35c370$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.24542.2%19 W · 26 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Joblife28c348.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.771,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere64c343.78$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.71,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Joblife33c320$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked Joblife32c288.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere76c288.07$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.51,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Joblife35c283.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…4537backed Joblife33c260$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.643330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Natus Vincere61c258.92$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9863955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a3…70bbbacked Joblife36c252.19$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+61.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc09b…d784backed Joblife40c250.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Joblife28c248.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3279650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Joblife24c248.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3240731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42db…3816backed Joblife32c233.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere66c227.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.923463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Joblife30c225$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere71c210.83$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7368949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Joblife29c200.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0952050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Joblife35c198.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7034253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…4c18backed Joblife33c194.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.611060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Natus Vincere65c185.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4816950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere75c171.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.551,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Joblife7c161.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.649439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Joblife23c155.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.391,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5120…b26bbacked Natus Vincere65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Joblife33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.523055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Joblife32c149.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Natus Vincere74c148.95$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8410348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Natus Vincere68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0621454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4926…a3bfbacked Natus Vincere65c146.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.211973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Joblife36c139.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0439646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere67c125$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Natus Vincere65c121$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3550944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d9…ac79backed Joblife43c115.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.092853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x468b…68a5backed Joblife17c114.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Natus Vincere63c113.19$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.196456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Joblife19c110$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.841835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere72c103.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Joblife24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Natus Vincere67c99.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.257762.3%48 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Joblife29c93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Joblife16c91.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed Natus Vincere73c90$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32181%17 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+37.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Joblife25c82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.171833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f90…4af9backed Natus Vincere78c77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Joblife20c72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1481134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Joblife38c68.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.981752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Joblife21c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7390733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Joblife31c64.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.919439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Joblife29c61.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.622440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Joblife30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810144.6%45 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Joblife30c59.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.966639.4%26 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45b2…95e2backed Natus Vincere61c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Natus Vincere72c52.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.474658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8be…37f9backed Joblife38c51.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f4…9626backed Joblife21c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa955…7487backed Joblife30c50.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Natus Vincere65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.532152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed Natus Vincere68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere72c43.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Joblife29c37.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.057433.8%25 W · 49 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Joblife29c36.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.762853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked Natus Vincere69c32.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9310061%61 W · 39 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Natus Vincere66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3532157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked Natus Vincere79c27.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.837768.8%53 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.