TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Joblifeof Natus Vincere, Joblife
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere63c32,000$20,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,159.9924145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Joblife37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6007164.8%46 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Joblife37c12,077$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,557.0325554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Joblife44c6,675$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.271,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed Joblife53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.992055%11 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere54c5,735$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.5956357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Joblife48c4,198$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.6540945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere49c3,828$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.3653355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere55c2,470$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.6553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Joblife44c2,242$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.8284838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Natus Vincere51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01011354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere53c1,969$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere55c1,935$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.8978562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere52c1,861$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.7556551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Joblife37c1,536$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.926150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere47c1,478$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.0494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere57c1,434$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.381,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Joblife48c1,412$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.713355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Joblife80c1,321$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.136462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere57c1,299$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.4939646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Joblife41c1,240$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.5832047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Joblife43c1,076$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.151,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked Joblife39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6102759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+57.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Natus Vincere65c984.29$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.463955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere58c870.21$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3614653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Natus Vincere60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Natus Vincere47c817.13$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0511445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Joblife43c698.23$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.0150944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Joblife42c662.51$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.2618049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Natus Vincere54c626.74$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.444751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Joblife48c595.19$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Joblife37c486.49$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4910844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b4…e1a2backed Natus Vincere53c459.42$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Natus Vincere15c443.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0860022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere61c440.5$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7153442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked Joblife45c434.04$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.721729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Natus Vincere49c402.47$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.863348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Joblife35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2606229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked Natus Vincere44c397.13$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Joblife36c388.89$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8910346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Natus Vincere64c388.89$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.897156.3%40 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked Joblife35c317.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.141758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere62c314.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Joblife43c310.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.822045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Natus Vincere59c305.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Joblife46c301$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Joblife41c299.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17712745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Joblife45c299.85$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.364658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda31…f8acbacked Natus Vincere61c260.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Joblife47c248.9$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1927850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Natus Vincere61c247.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Natus Vincere53c242.09$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Joblife47c234$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.276639.4%26 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Natus Vincere58c223$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere44c202.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.231,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed Natus Vincere50c191.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.353852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Joblife37c170$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.123055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Natus Vincere37c165.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.941833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b81…613dbacked Natus Vincere53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794542.2%19 W · 26 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Joblife55c143.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.294055%22 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Joblife43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.533743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Natus Vincere50c135.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.551560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Natus Vincere64c135$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.928252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Joblife57c127.37$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3734253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere61c125$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Joblife38c122.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.972853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Joblife38c112.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3846347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked Joblife47c110.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.410061%61 W · 39 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Joblife54c109.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5633346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Natus Vincere47c108.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519540%38 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere33c108$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Natus Vincere56c107.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed Natus Vincere55c103.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.572339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed Natus Vincere55c103.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.422433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…1044backed Natus Vincere55c103.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.953834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Natus Vincere54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5425245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Joblife33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6710548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31dd…4537backed Joblife44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed Joblife36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed Joblife43c98.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.17143.7%31 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked Natus Vincere41c94.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.784146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere45c93.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Joblife45c91.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.116456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere52c89.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1768949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce34…cceebacked Natus Vincere54c88.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Joblife51c85.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1190733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Joblife52c80.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5265347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf408…4c13backed Natus Vincere54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere57c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1379650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62f…2958backed Natus Vincere74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f90…4af9backed Joblife42c65.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Joblife37c65.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.075100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+117.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Natus Vincere58c60.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.46per pick57cpaid-78.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.11,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Joblife44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.641835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed Joblife53c55.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.413237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed Natus Vincere62c55.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.432240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed Natus Vincere52c51.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.572653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Natus Vincere47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.555637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.