CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e34239bb7cfb29fbf3393d4324b9b834d25f6f221f9cddc6a5ed20736cfba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Lilmix, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Young Ninjas | 76c | 7,706$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Lilmix | 15c | 4,982$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.28 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 14c | 2,408$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Lilmix | 16c | 2,140$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.42 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lilmix | 32c | 1,379$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.71 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 28c | 1,025$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Lilmix | 15c | 991.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Young Ninjas | 68c | 565.03$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Lilmix | 32c | 467.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…b277backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 363.12$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lilmix | 30c | 261.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Lilmix | 11c | 251.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 24c | 248.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Lilmix | 15c | 247.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lilmix | 39c | 213.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 205.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Young Ninjas | 76c | 197.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lilmix | 41c | 178.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lilmix | 41c | 178.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…44a5backed Young Ninjas | 70c | 167.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Young Ninjas | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 26c | 117.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Young Ninjas | 70c | 110.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lilmix | 13c | 107.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Lilmix | 20c | 97.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…b444backed Lilmix | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lilmix | 30c | 94.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Lilmix | 14c | 89.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Young Ninjas | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…21a4backed Young Ninjas | 71c | 84.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 83.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…7f7ebacked Lilmix | 27c | 74.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 69.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…cecabacked Lilmix | 31c | 66.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lilmix | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Young Ninjas | 79c | 61.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lilmix | 30c | 61.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Lilmix | 29c | 60.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed Young Ninjas | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Young Ninjas | 63c | 54.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Lilmix | 27c | 53.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Lilmix | 30c | 52.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Young Ninjas | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lilmix | 28c | 48.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Young Ninjas | 76c | 48.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Lilmix | 31c | 42.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b1eabacked Young Ninjas | 80c | 39.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Young Ninjas | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Young Ninjas | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…688cbacked Young Ninjas | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Young Ninjas | 69c | 32.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Young Ninjas | 70c | 30.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked Young Ninjas | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed Young Ninjas | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Young Ninjas | 66c | 25.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Young Ninjas | 79c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Young Ninjas | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Young Ninjas | 73c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…eb4dbacked Young Ninjas | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won
- Map Handicap: YN (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)Lilmix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.